Sport Picks
Rilski Sportist vs Belasitsa Petrich
Bulgaria
Bulgarian Cup 2025/2026 
Match Events
74'
74'
Panchev K.
80'
80'
Bozhinov V.
87'
87'
Dokovski K.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-1, with Rilski Sportist advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
68%
15%
17%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rilski Sportist
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
68%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Rilski Sportist come out ahead of Belasitsa Petrich on wins alone.
- Model gives Rilski Sportist a 68% chance of winning this.
- Rilski Sportist have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Belasitsa Petrich, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Rilski Sportist Clean Sheet 19%
Belasitsa Petrich Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rilski Sportist | Belasitsa Petrich |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 17 | 7 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.79 | 1.96 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 11, 2025 Bulgarian Cup
Rilski Sportist vs Belasitsa Petrich
2:1
Feb 19, 2022 Third League - South-West
Rilski Sportist vs Belasitsa Petrich
0:3
Aug 7, 2021 Third League - South-West
Belasitsa Petrich vs Rilski Sportist
3:2
May 22, 2021 Third League - South-West
Rilski Sportist vs Belasitsa Petrich
0:0
Nov 21, 2020 Third League - South-West
Belasitsa Petrich vs Rilski Sportist
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rilski Sportist Compare
Top Goalscorer Panchev K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Dokovski K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Belasitsa Petrich Compare
Top Goalscorer Bozhinov V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rilski Sportist 85 / 100
Belasitsa Petrich 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rilski Sportist Belasitsa Petrich
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Rilski Sportist Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Belasitsa Petrich let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.
Attacking prowess: Rilski Sportist scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Solid form: Rilski Sportist remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Rilski Sportist VS Belasitsa Petrich
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Rilski Sportist
(Home) 26 Sept
Rilski Sportist
1 : 0 Pirin Blagoevgrad
20 Sept
Marek
1 : 3 Rilski Sportist
13 Sept
Rilski Sportist
2 : 0 Yantra Gabrovo
06 Sept
Nesebar
2 : 1 Rilski Sportist
02 Sept
Rilski Sportist
2 : 1 Svoge
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Rilski Sportist
1 : 0 Pirin Blagoevgrad
13 Sept
Rilski Sportist
2 : 0 Yantra Gabrovo
02 Sept
Rilski Sportist
2 : 1 Svoge
22 Aug
Rilski Sportist
2 : 1 Montana
09 Aug
Rilski Sportist
2 : 2 Spartak Pleven
Page 1 of 4
Belasitsa Petrich
(Away) 26 Sept
Strumska Slava
2 : 1 Belasitsa Petrich
19 Sept
Belasitsa Petrich
0 : 1 Kostinbrod
13 Sept
Oborishte Panagyurishte
1 : 0 Belasitsa Petrich
05 Sept
Belasitsa Petrich
3 : 2 Slivnishki Geroy
29 Aug
Bansko
4 : 1 Belasitsa Petrich
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Strumska Slava
2 : 1 Belasitsa Petrich
13 Sept
Oborishte Panagyurishte
1 : 0 Belasitsa Petrich
29 Aug
Bansko
4 : 1 Belasitsa Petrich
15 Aug
Minyor Pernik
1 : 1 Belasitsa Petrich
01 Aug
Pirin Razlog
1 : 3 Belasitsa Petrich
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Bdin Vidin 2
Etar 1
TBD -
Dobrudzha -
Zagorets -
TBD -
TBD -
Botev Vratsa -
Partizan Cerven Brjag 0
Minyor Pernik 2
TBD -
Cherno More -
Germaneya 0
Fratria 4
TBD -
Arda -
Benkovski 0
Dunav Ruse 4
TBD -
Lok. Plovdiv -
Septemvri Tervel 0
Marek 3
TBD -
Montana -
Yambol 1915 2
Vihren 1
TBD -
Spartak Varna -
OFC Haskovo 0
Spartak Pleven 4
TBD -
Botev Plovdiv -
Botev Novi Pazar 1
Svoge 4
TBD -
Septemvri Sofia -
FC Lovech 0
Chernomorets 1919 5
TBD -
Ludogorets -
Pernik 1
Hebar 8
TBD -
Levski Sofia -
Bistritsa 2
Gorna 1
TBD -
Beroe -
Chernolomets 2
Sevlievo 4
TBD -
CSKA Sofia -
Rilski Sportist 2
Belasitsa Petrich 1
TBD -
Lok. Sofia -
Spartak Plovdiv 2
Pirin Blagoevgrad 1
TBD -
Slavia Sofia -
Kom Berkovitsa 0
Yantra Gabrovo 1
TBD -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
1/16-finals
Bdin Vidin 2
Dobrudzha 7
Zagorets 1
Botev Vratsa 4
Minyor Pernik 0
Cherno More 3
Fratria 1
Arda 2
Dunav Ruse 1
Lok. Plovdiv 2
Marek 1
Montana 4
Yambol 1915 1
Spartak Varna 3
Spartak Pleven 0
Botev Plovdiv 4
Svoge 0
Septemvri Sofia 2
Chernomorets 1919 2
Ludogorets 3
Hebar 0
Levski Sofia 3
Bistritsa 1
Beroe 0
Sevlievo 1
CSKA Sofia 2
Rilski Sportist 2
Lok. Sofia 3
Spartak Plovdiv 1
Slavia Sofia 2
Yantra Gabrovo 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia 4
1/8-finals
Dobrudzha 0
Botev Vratsa 1
Cherno More 0
Arda 3
Lok. Plovdiv 4
Montana 0
Spartak Varna 0
Botev Plovdiv 2
Septemvri Sofia 1
Ludogorets 3
Levski Sofia 3
Bistritsa 0
CSKA Sofia 2
Lok. Sofia 1
Slavia Sofia 2
CSKA 1948 Sofia 3
Quarter-finals
Botev Vratsa 2
Arda 3
Lok. Plovdiv 1
Botev Plovdiv 0
Ludogorets 1
Levski Sofia 0
CSKA Sofia 2
CSKA 1948 Sofia 0
Semi-finals
Arda 1
Lok. Plovdiv 5
Ludogorets 1
CSKA Sofia 2
Final
Lok. Plovdiv 1
CSKA Sofia 2
