Sport Picks

Bulgaria

Third League - South-West

Rilski Sportist

1 - 0

Kostinbrod

Our Tip

Match Events

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No live events recorded yet.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Rilski Sportist in this Third League - South-West matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rilski Sportist.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Rilski Sportist

30%

Draws

34%

Kostinbrod

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rilski Sportist

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Rilski Sportist has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Kostinbrod.
Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for Rilski Sportist.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Third League - South-West provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Rilski Sportist Clean Sheet 20%

Kostinbrod Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Rilski Sportist	Kostinbrod
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	19	12
Draws	2	5
Losses	8	13
Goals Scored	1.38	0.86
Goals Conceded	0.75	1.57
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 Third League - South-West

Rilski Sportist vs Kostinbrod

Possession: 52% - 57% Cards: 1 - 0

1:0

Sep 17, 2025 Third League - South-West

Kostinbrod vs Rilski Sportist

Possession: 54% - 57% Cards: 0 - 4

1:2

Feb 24, 2024 Third League - South-West

Rilski Sportist vs Kostinbrod

Possession: 41% - 45% Cards: 0 - 3

1:2

Aug 12, 2023 Third League - South-West

Kostinbrod vs Rilski Sportist

Possession: 57% - 53% Cards: 3 - 2

0:2

Feb 18, 2023 Third League - South-West

Kostinbrod vs Rilski Sportist

Possession: 48% - 44% Cards: 2 - 2

4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rilski Sportist 36 / 100

Kostinbrod 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Rilski Sportist Kostinbrod

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rilski Sportist scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Kostinbrod let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Rilski Sportist went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Kostinbrod lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rilski Sportist VS Kostinbrod

1.38 Goals Scored 0.86

0.75 Goals Conceded 1.57

63% Over 1.5 71%

50% Over 2.5 43%

0% Over 3.5 14%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rilski Sportist	34	25	5	4	58:23	80
2	Strumska Slava	34	20	5	9	71:45	65
3	Slavia Sofia 2	34	17	6	11	68:44	57
4	Botev Ihtiman	34	14	9	11	53:40	51
5	Kyustendil	34	15	5	14	49:52	50
6	CSKA Sofia III	34	15	5	14	49:43	50
7	Oborishte Panagyurishte	34	14	7	13	43:37	49
8	Balkan Botevgrad	34	13	10	11	50:45	49
9	Septemvri Sofia 2	34	13	9	12	50:43	48
10	Septemvri Simitli	34	13	8	13	41:40	47
11	Kostinbrod	34	14	5	15	47:51	47
12	Pirin Razlog	34	13	6	15	43:48	45
13	Bansko	34	11	11	12	39:45	44
14	Slivnishki Geroy	34	11	9	14	40:49	42
15	Levski Sofia II	34	11	7	16	30:44	40
16	Gotse Delchev	34	11	4	19	43:70	37
17	Germaneya	34	4	6	24	38:75	18
18	Bistritsa	34	11	5	18	44:62	38