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Rilski Sportist vs Marek - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Wed, Jul 15, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rilski Sportist host Marek in the Club Friendly. This one's hard to separate. Marek have shipped 0.82 goals a game lately, while Rilski Sportist have conceded 0.81 and scored 1.26. Past meetings favor Marek slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 20, 2026, ending 1:3. xG projections (1.38 - 1.06) back Rilski Sportist to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Rilski Sportist
15%
Draws
31%
Marek
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rilski Sportist

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Rilski Sportist have won more games recently than Marek.
  • Win probability leans Rilski Sportist's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Rilski Sportist Clean Sheet 20%
Marek Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rilski Sportist Marek
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 15 12
Draws 4 8
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.26 1.04
Goals Conceded 0.81 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Vtora liga
Marek vs Rilski Sportist
1:3
Jul 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Rilski Sportist vs Marek
0:0
Feb 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Marek vs Rilski Sportist
3:0
Apr 7, 2021 Third League - South-West
Rilski Sportist vs Marek
0:2
Oct 7, 2020 Third League - South-West
Marek vs Rilski Sportist
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rilski Sportist 76 / 100
Marek 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rilski Sportist Marek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rilski Sportist Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rilski Sportist found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Rilski Sportist went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Marek let in goals in 46% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Rilski Sportist VS Marek
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rilski Sportist

(Home)
04 Oct
Zagorets
0 : 4
Rilski Sportist
26 Sept
Rilski Sportist
1 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
20 Sept
Marek
1 : 3
Rilski Sportist
13 Sept
Rilski Sportist
2 : 0
Yantra Gabrovo
06 Sept
Nesebar
2 : 1
Rilski Sportist
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Marek

(Away)
04 Oct
Chavdar Troyan
0 : 4
Marek
26 Sept
Gorna
0 : 0
Marek
20 Sept
Marek
1 : 3
Rilski Sportist
13 Sept
Marek
3 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
06 Sept
Yantra Gabrovo
3 : 0
Marek
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