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Rimini vs Perugia

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 Stadio Romeo Neri, Rimini
Sun, Feb 22, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rimini host Perugia in the Serie C - Group B 2025/2026. Perugia are expected to control this from the start. Perugia have shipped 1.11 goals a game lately, while Rimini have conceded 1.86 and scored 0.43. Head-to-head, Rimini have won 2 to Perugia's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Feb 22, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.17 vs 1.24, favoring Perugia. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Rimini
35%
Draws
65%
Perugia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Perugia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Perugia come out ahead of Rimini on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Rimini Clean Sheet 19%
Perugia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rimini Perugia
Matches Played 7 28
Wins 0 7
Draws 1 12
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 0.43 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Rimini vs Perugia
0:0
Oct 11, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Perugia vs Rimini
0:1
Feb 1, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Rimini vs Perugia
1:1
Sep 26, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Perugia vs Rimini
1:4
May 11, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Perugia vs Rimini
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rimini 31 / 100
Perugia 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rimini Perugia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Perugia let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Rimini found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (7 games).

Perugia's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Rimini VS Perugia
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rimini

(Home)
22 Nov
Carpi
2 : 1
Rimini
15 Nov
Rimini
0 : 2
Ascoli
08 Nov
Pianese
1 : 0
Rimini
01 Nov
Rimini
1 : 2
Bra
29 Oct
Ravenna
3 : 0
Rimini
Page 1 of 2

Perugia

(Away)
02 Aug
Perugia
1 : 1
Grosseto
26 Apr
Forli FC
1 : 1
Perugia
18 Apr
Perugia
0 : 1
Campobasso
12 Apr
Ternana
2 : 2
Perugia
04 Apr
Perugia
2 : 2
Juventus U23
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arezzo 36 24 8 4 64:24 80
2 Ascoli 36 23 8 5 63:23 77
3 Ravenna 36 22 7 7 50:30 73
4 Campobasso 36 17 10 9 49:37 59
5 Juventus U23 36 14 11 11 46:43 53
6 Pianese 36 11 17 8 37:34 50
7 Pineto 36 13 11 12 42:45 50
8 Gubbio 36 11 15 10 31:32 48
9 Ternana 36 14 11 11 44:40 48
10 Vis Pesaro 36 11 13 12 38:36 46
11 Livorno 36 12 7 17 39:51 43
12 Forli FC 36 10 10 16 41:52 40
13 Carpi 36 10 10 16 35:48 40
14 Perugia 36 8 14 14 38:44 38
15 Guidonia 1937 36 8 14 14 30:36 38
16 Sambenedettese 36 8 13 15 30:37 37
17 Sassari Torres 36 6 18 12 32:45 36
18 Bra 36 6 14 16 37:54 32
19 US Pontedera 36 3 11 22 27:62 20
20 Rimini 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)