Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rimini vs US Pontedera

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 Stadio Romeo Neri, Rimini
Sun, Jan 25, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rimini host US Pontedera in the Serie C - Group B 2025/2026. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Rimini have averaged 0.43 scored and 1.86 conceded recently, against US Pontedera's 0.75 scored and 1.79 conceded. Head-to-head, Rimini have won 2 to US Pontedera's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 25, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.23 - 0.80) back US Pontedera to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Rimini
15%
Draws
85%
US Pontedera
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: US Pontedera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • US Pontedera have won more games recently than Rimini.
  • 0% — that's where the model lands on Rimini taking it.
  • Regular Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Rimini Clean Sheet 20%
US Pontedera Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rimini US Pontedera
Matches Played 7 28
Wins 0 1
Draws 1 8
Losses 6 19
Goals Scored 0.43 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Rimini vs US Pontedera
0:0
Sep 13, 2025 Serie C - Group B
US Pontedera vs Rimini
2:1
Apr 23, 2025 Serie C - Group B
US Pontedera vs Rimini
3:0
Dec 7, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Rimini vs US Pontedera
5:1
Feb 18, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Rimini vs US Pontedera
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rimini 85 / 100
US Pontedera 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rimini US Pontedera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rimini Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

US Pontedera has conceded goals in 93% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

US Pontedera lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Rimini found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (7 games).

Scoring Trends

Rimini VS US Pontedera
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rimini

(Home)
22 Nov
Carpi
2 : 1
Rimini
15 Nov
Rimini
0 : 2
Ascoli
08 Nov
Pianese
1 : 0
Rimini
01 Nov
Rimini
1 : 2
Bra
29 Oct
Ravenna
3 : 0
Rimini
Page 1 of 2

US Pontedera

(Away)
20 Sept
US Pontedera
0 : 3
Varese FC
16 Sept
Pro Sesto
3 : 0
US Pontedera
12 Sept
US Pontedera
2 : 3
Pro Patria
06 Sept
Castellanzese
3 : 1
US Pontedera
12 Aug
Tau
0 : 1
US Pontedera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arezzo 36 24 8 4 64:24 80
2 Ascoli 36 23 8 5 63:23 77
3 Ravenna 36 22 7 7 50:30 73
4 Campobasso 36 17 10 9 49:37 59
5 Juventus U23 36 14 11 11 46:43 53
6 Pianese 36 11 17 8 37:34 50
7 Pineto 36 13 11 12 42:45 50
8 Gubbio 36 11 15 10 31:32 48
9 Ternana 36 14 11 11 44:40 48
10 Vis Pesaro 36 11 13 12 38:36 46
11 Livorno 36 12 7 17 39:51 43
12 Forli FC 36 10 10 16 41:52 40
13 Carpi 36 10 10 16 35:48 40
14 Perugia 36 8 14 14 38:44 38
15 Guidonia 1937 36 8 14 14 30:36 38
16 Sambenedettese 36 8 13 15 30:37 37
17 Sassari Torres 36 6 18 12 32:45 36
18 Bra 36 6 14 16 37:54 32
19 US Pontedera 36 3 11 22 27:62 20
20 Rimini 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)