Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 9 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
77%
15%
8%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rincon
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
77%
/ Very High Confidence
- Rincon have won more games recently than Guadix.
- Model gives Rincon a 77% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Rincon Clean Sheet 17%
Guadix Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rincon | Guadix |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 3 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 17 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 0.87 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 2.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.85 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 10, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Rincon vs Guadix
1:1
Oct 7, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Guadix vs Rincon
2:1
Apr 22, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Guadix vs Rincon
1:3
Nov 26, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Rincon vs Guadix
2:1
Feb 5, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Guadix vs Rincon
4:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rincon 84 / 100
Guadix 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rincon Guadix
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Rincon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Guadix conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Rincon went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Guadix lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Rincon VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Rincon
(Home) 17 Aug
Rincon
0 : 1 El Palo
10 May
Rincon
1 : 0 Motril
05 May
Huetor Vega
1 : 3 Rincon
01 May
Rincon
0 : 3 Huetor Tajar
27 Apr
Arenas Armilla
1 : 2 Rincon
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17 Aug
Rincon
0 : 1 El Palo
10 May
Rincon
1 : 0 Motril
01 May
Rincon
0 : 3 Huetor Tajar
21 Apr
Rincon
1 : 2 Malaga B
14 Apr
Rincon
0 : 3 Maracena
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Guadix
(Away) 19 May
Antequera
6 : 1 Guadix
12 May
Guadix
0 : 3 Torremolinos
05 May
Alhaurin
5 : 1 Guadix
27 Apr
Guadix
2 : 2 El Palo
14 Apr
Motril
5 : 0 Guadix
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19 May
Antequera
6 : 1 Guadix
05 May
Alhaurin
5 : 1 Guadix
14 Apr
Motril
5 : 0 Guadix
31 Mar
CD Torreperogil
3 : 0 Guadix
17 Mar
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
7 : 1 Guadix
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jaen | 42 | 32 | 5 | 5 | 99:32 | 101 |
| 2 | Linares | 42 | 27 | 6 | 9 | 79:32 | 87 |
| 3 | Antequera | 42 | 24 | 10 | 8 | 90:35 | 82 |
| 4 | El Palo | 42 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 65:34 | 81 |
| 5 | Velez | 42 | 18 | 14 | 10 | 56:40 | 68 |
| 6 | Motril | 42 | 20 | 8 | 14 | 79:59 | 68 |
| 7 | Loja | 42 | 18 | 8 | 16 | 68:64 | 62 |
| 8 | Mancha | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 59:52 | 60 |
| 9 | Alhaurin | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 73:69 | 59 |
| 10 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 74:59 | 58 |
| 11 | CD Torreperogil | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 43:52 | 58 |
| 12 | Huetor Vega | 42 | 16 | 9 | 17 | 56:65 | 57 |
| 13 | Huetor Tajar | 42 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 65:55 | 57 |
| 14 | CP Almeria | 42 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 53:57 | 57 |
| 15 | CD Alhaurino | 42 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 72:66 | 56 |
| 16 | Torremolinos | 42 | 15 | 8 | 19 | 57:65 | 53 |
| 17 | Rincon | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 45:63 | 52 |
| 18 | Martos | 42 | 12 | 8 | 22 | 41:70 | 44 |
| 19 | Atarfe Industrial | 42 | 12 | 6 | 24 | 49:79 | 42 |
| 20 | UD San Pedro | 42 | 11 | 8 | 23 | 48:75 | 41 |
| 21 | Guadix | 42 | 8 | 11 | 23 | 44:95 | 35 |
| 22 | River Melilla | 42 | 2 | 1 | 39 | 28:125 | 4 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
