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Rincon vs Jaen

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Segura J.
72' Event
Espin J.
79' Event
Torres J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Jaen in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jaen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Rincon
15%
Draws
45%
Jaen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jaen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jaen lately — more wins on the board than Rincon.
  • Jaen are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Rincon Clean Sheet 19%
Jaen Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rincon Jaen
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 17
Draws 7 7
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 0.87 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.57 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Rincon vs Jaen
1:3
Sep 17, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Jaen vs Rincon
2:2
Jan 20, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Jaen vs Rincon
8:0
Sep 16, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Rincon vs Jaen
2:0
Mar 18, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Rincon vs Jaen
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rincon Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Jaen Compare

Top Goalscorer Segura J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Espin J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rincon 24 / 100
Jaen 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rincon Jaen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jaen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Jaen conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Rincon went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Rincon scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Jaen
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rincon

(Home)
17 Aug
Rincon
0 : 1
El Palo
10 May
Rincon
1 : 0
Motril
05 May
Huetor Vega
1 : 3
Rincon
01 May
Rincon
0 : 3
Huetor Tajar
27 Apr
Arenas Armilla
1 : 2
Rincon
Page 1 of 6

Jaen

(Away)
30 Aug
CE Europa
0 : 3
Jaen
06 Aug
Jaen
1 : 2
Cordoba
01 Aug
Linares
0 : 2
Jaen
24 Jul
Cacereno
1 : 1
Jaen
31 May
Baleares
1 : 2
Jaen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Torremolinos 34 23 7 4 65:23 76
2 Jaen 34 22 7 5 66:28 73
3 Malaga B 34 19 10 5 54:20 67
4 Almeria B 34 19 10 5 75:28 67
5 Torre del Mar 34 18 8 8 44:30 62
6 Motril 34 13 11 10 36:23 50
7 Arenas Armilla 34 14 6 14 34:39 48
8 CP Almeria 34 11 13 10 39:37 46
9 Huetor Vega 34 13 7 14 40:41 46
10 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 34 11 10 13 46:46 43
11 Mancha 34 9 12 13 41:43 39
12 CD Torreperogil 34 9 11 14 32:41 38
13 Ejido 34 7 16 11 30:41 37
14 Huetor Tajar 34 7 14 13 25:39 35
15 Malaga Juniors 34 7 12 15 27:47 33
16 Maracena 34 6 13 15 29:50 31
17 Rincon 34 6 10 18 30:54 28
18 Atletico Melilla 34 0 7 27 18:101 4
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2023/2024 (Play Offs)