Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rio Ave U19 vs Benfica U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Soares T.
51' Event
Patricio M.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 game between Rio Ave U19 and Benfica U19 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Rio Ave U19
20%
Draws
52%
Benfica U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Benfica U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Benfica U19 come out ahead of Rio Ave U19 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Benfica U19's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Rio Ave U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Benfica U19 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Ave U19 Benfica U19
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 18
Draws 3 7
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.24 2.62
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Benfica U19 vs Rio Ave U19
2:1
Feb 7, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Rio Ave U19 vs Benfica U19
1:1
May 13, 2022 Campeonato Nacional U19
Benfica U19 vs Rio Ave U19
4:0
Mar 13, 2022 Campeonato Nacional U19
Rio Ave U19 vs Benfica U19
3:3
May 9, 2020 Campeonato Nacional U19
Benfica U19 vs Rio Ave U19
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rio Ave U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Patricio M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Benfica U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Soares T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Ave U19 10 / 100
Benfica U19 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Ave U19 Benfica U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Benfica U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rio Ave U19 scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Benfica U19 has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Rio Ave U19 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rio Ave U19 VS Benfica U19
0.88 Goals Scored 3
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rio Ave U19

(Home)
19 Sept
FC Porto U19
0 : 0
Rio Ave U19
12 Sept
Rio Ave U19
2 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
06 Sept
Moreirense U19
1 : 0
Rio Ave U19
23 Aug
Rio Ave U19
1 : 0
Vizela U19
15 Aug
Feirense U19
2 : 1
Rio Ave U19
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Benfica U19

(Away)
19 Sept
Mafra U19
1 : 1
Benfica U19
12 Sept
Benfica U19
5 : 1
SC Farense U19
06 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 2
Benfica U19
29 Aug
Benfica U19
5 : 0
Leiria U19
23 Aug
Benfica U19
3 : 2
Torreense U19
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