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Rio Ave vs Al Ahli SC

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Al Buraikan F.
6' Event
Matheus Goncalves
75' Event
Rafael Lobato

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Rio Ave
20%
Draws
51%
Al Ahli SC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Ahli SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Ahli SC lately — more wins on the board than Rio Ave.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Al Ahli SC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Rio Ave Clean Sheet 10%
Al Ahli SC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Ave Al Ahli SC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 16
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.21 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 Club Friendly
Rio Ave vs Al Ahli SC
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rio Ave Compare

Top Goalscorer Rafael Lobato
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ntoi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Al Ahli SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Buraikan F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matheus Goncalves
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Ave 10 / 100
Al Ahli SC 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Ave Al Ahli SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ahli SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Al Ahli SC conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Rio Ave found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Rio Ave remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rio Ave VS Al Ahli SC
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rio Ave

(Home)
14 Sept
Rio Ave
3 : 3
Estrela da Amadora
06 Sept
Santa Clara
4 : 0
Rio Ave
28 Aug
Rio Ave
0 : 4
Sporting CP
22 Aug
Estoril
0 : 2
Rio Ave
15 Aug
Rio Ave
0 : 2
FC Porto
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Al Ahli SC

(Away)
14 Sept
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1
Pakhtakor
11 Sept
Al Ahli SC
3 : 1
Al Hazem Rass
08 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 2
Al Ahli SC
04 Sept
Al Ahli SC
5 : 0
Al Riyadh
01 Sept
Al Hilal
3 : 0
Al Ahli SC
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