Sport Picks
Rio Ave vs Gil Vicente
Portugal
Liga Portugal 2025/2026 Estádio do Rio Ave, Vila do Conde 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Fernandez M. In: Moreira A.
Out: Fernandez M.
58'
58'
Sub
Hernandez H. In: Varela G.
Out: Hernandez H.
63'
63'
Ryan Guilherme
AI Match Summary
The Liga Portugal 2025/2026 game between Rio Ave and Gil Vicente finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gil Vicente
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Gil Vicente come out ahead of Rio Ave on wins alone.
- Gil Vicente are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Rio Ave Clean Sheet 19%
Gil Vicente Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rio Ave | Gil Vicente |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 14 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.69 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 9, 2026 Liga Portugal
Gil Vicente vs Rio Ave
1:0
May 3, 2026 Liga Portugal
Rio Ave vs Gil Vicente
0:0
Dec 20, 2025 Liga Portugal
Gil Vicente vs Rio Ave
2:2
Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Gil Vicente vs Rio Ave
3:1
May 16, 2025 Liga Portugal
Rio Ave vs Gil Vicente
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rio Ave 16 / 100
Gil Vicente 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rio Ave Gil Vicente
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gil Vicente Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gil Vicente's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Rio Ave scored in 55% of their last 29 games.
Rio Ave has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Rio Ave VS Gil Vicente
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Rio Ave
(Home) 19 Sept
Alverca
1 : 0 Rio Ave
14 Sept
Rio Ave
3 : 3 Estrela da Amadora
06 Sept
Santa Clara
4 : 0 Rio Ave
28 Aug
Rio Ave
0 : 4 Sporting CP
22 Aug
Estoril
0 : 2 Rio Ave
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Rio Ave
3 : 3 Estrela da Amadora
28 Aug
Rio Ave
0 : 4 Sporting CP
15 Aug
Rio Ave
0 : 2 FC Porto
01 Aug
Rio Ave
3 : 1 Tondela
23 Jul
Rio Ave
5 : 2 Nottingham 2
Page 1 of 4
Gil Vicente
(Away) 19 Sept
Gil Vicente
1 : 1 Maritimo
13 Sept
Benfica
3 : 1 Gil Vicente
06 Sept
Gil Vicente
0 : 1 Academico Viseu
30 Aug
Famalicao
0 : 0 Gil Vicente
24 Aug
Gil Vicente
2 : 0 Casa Pia
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Benfica
3 : 1 Gil Vicente
30 Aug
Famalicao
0 : 0 Gil Vicente
01 Aug
Penafiel
0 : 2 Gil Vicente
16 May
Sporting CP
3 : 0 Gil Vicente
03 May
Rio Ave
0 : 0 Gil Vicente
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 66:18 | 88 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 89:24 | 82 |
| 3 | Benfica | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 74:25 | 80 |
| 4 | Braga | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 64:36 | 59 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 42:29 | 56 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 47:38 | 50 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37:49 | 43 |
| 8 | Arouca | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 47:64 | 42 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 39:51 | 42 |
| 10 | Estoril | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 54:57 | 39 |
| 11 | Alverca | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35:52 | 39 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 35:57 | 36 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 32:41 | 36 |
| 14 | Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37:45 | 34 |
| 15 | Estrela da Amadora | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38:56 | 30 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 31:57 | 30 |
| 17 | Tondela | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27:55 | 28 |
| 18 | AFS | 34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 27:67 | 21 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 (Main)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 (Main)
