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Rio Ave vs Vitoria Guimaraes

World World

Club Friendly
Thu, Jul 23, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rio Ave host Vitoria Guimaraes in the Club Friendly. Little to choose between these two on current form. Vitoria Guimaraes have shipped 1.22 goals a game lately, while Rio Ave have conceded 1.69 and scored 1.14. Head-to-head, Rio Ave have won 0 to Vitoria Guimaraes's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 23, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.69) point toward Vitoria Guimaraes. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Rio Ave
30%
Draws
39%
Vitoria Guimaraes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vitoria Guimaraes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Rio Ave haven't matched Vitoria Guimaraes's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Vitoria Guimaraes's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Rio Ave Clean Sheet 13%
Vitoria Guimaraes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Ave Vitoria Guimaraes
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 9 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.14 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2026 Club Friendly
Rio Ave vs Vitoria Guimaraes
0:0
Apr 25, 2026 Liga Portugal
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Rio Ave
2:0
Dec 13, 2025 Liga Portugal
Rio Ave vs Vitoria Guimaraes
0:1
Apr 27, 2025 Liga Portugal
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Rio Ave
3:0
Dec 16, 2024 Liga Portugal
Rio Ave vs Vitoria Guimaraes
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Ave 19 / 100
Vitoria Guimaraes 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Ave Vitoria Guimaraes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitoria Guimaraes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vitoria Guimaraes has conceded goals in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Rio Ave scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Rio Ave went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rio Ave VS Vitoria Guimaraes
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rio Ave

(Home)
19 Sept
Alverca
1 : 0
Rio Ave
14 Sept
Rio Ave
3 : 3
Estrela da Amadora
06 Sept
Santa Clara
4 : 0
Rio Ave
28 Aug
Rio Ave
0 : 4
Sporting CP
22 Aug
Estoril
0 : 2
Rio Ave
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Vitoria Guimaraes

(Away)
20 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes
1 : 1
Moreirense
12 Sept
Academico Viseu
2 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes
06 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes
0 : 0
Casa Pia
31 Aug
Braga
1 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes
23 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes
1 : 0
Nacional
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