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Rio Ave vs Vitoria Guimaraes

World World

Club Friendly
Thu, Jul 23, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rio Ave host Vitoria Guimaraes in the Club Friendly. Little to choose between these two on current form. Vitoria Guimaraes have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Rio Ave have conceded 1.25 and scored 1.13. Head-to-head, Rio Ave have won 0 to Vitoria Guimaraes's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 23, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.38) point toward Vitoria Guimaraes. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Rio Ave
44%
Draws
20%
Vitoria Guimaraes
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Rio Ave haven't matched Vitoria Guimaraes's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Rio Ave Clean Sheet 17%
Vitoria Guimaraes Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Ave Vitoria Guimaraes
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 8 12
Draws 8 3
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2026 Club Friendly
Rio Ave vs Vitoria Guimaraes
0:0
Apr 25, 2026 Liga Portugal
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Rio Ave
2:0
Dec 13, 2025 Liga Portugal
Rio Ave vs Vitoria Guimaraes
0:1
Apr 27, 2025 Liga Portugal
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Rio Ave
3:0
Dec 16, 2024 Liga Portugal
Rio Ave vs Vitoria Guimaraes
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Ave 36 / 100
Vitoria Guimaraes 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Ave Vitoria Guimaraes

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rio Ave scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Vitoria Guimaraes conceded in 69% of 26 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Rio Ave went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rio Ave VS Vitoria Guimaraes
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%