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Rio Barra vs EC Vera Cruz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca C
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Gustavo Augusto
(Penalty)
64' Event
Noaldo
71' Event
Ferreira W.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Rio Barra in this Carioca C matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rio Barra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Rio Barra
20%
Draws
44%
EC Vera Cruz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: EC Vera Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • EC Vera Cruz have won more games recently than Rio Barra.
  • Win probability leans Rio Barra's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Rio Barra here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Rio Barra Clean Sheet 68%
EC Vera Cruz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Barra EC Vera Cruz
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.1 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Carioca C
Rio Barra vs EC Vera Cruz
3:1
Jun 15, 2025 Carioca C
EC Vera Cruz vs Rio Barra
0:1
May 26, 2024 Carioca C
Rio Barra vs EC Vera Cruz
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rio Barra Compare

Top Goalscorer Noaldo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Antonio
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

EC Vera Cruz Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Barra 95 / 100
EC Vera Cruz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Barra EC Vera Cruz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Barra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EC Vera Cruz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Rio Barra stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: EC Vera Cruz registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rio Barra VS EC Vera Cruz
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rio Barra

(Home)
12 Jul
Buzios
1 : 1
Rio Barra
06 Jul
Rio Barra
0 : 1
Buzios
03 Jul
Rio Barra
1 : 1
Tigres Brasil
28 Jun
Grande Rio Brescia Clube
0 : 2
Rio Barra
07 Jun
Rio Barra
0 : 4
Campos AA
Page 1 of 6

EC Vera Cruz

(Away)
12 Jul
Mageense
:
EC Vera Cruz
06 Jul
EC Vera Cruz
:
Mageense
03 Jul
Uni Souza
5 : 1
EC Vera Cruz
28 Jun
EC Vera Cruz
1 : 2
Caac Brazil
07 Jun
Uniao Central
3 : 2
EC Vera Cruz
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cardoso Moreira 8 7 1 0 15:2 22
2 Tigres Brasil 8 5 2 1 15:6 17
3 Campos AA 8 5 2 1 15:7 17
4 Grande Rio Brescia Clube 7 3 1 3 8:6 10
5 Mageense 6 2 1 3 6:13 7
6 Barcelona EC 8 2 0 6 5:21 6
7 Itaborai Profute 6 1 3 2 9:9 6
8 EC Vera Cruz 8 1 0 7 9:21 3
Promotion - Carioca C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barra Mansa 7 4 1 2 9:5 13
2 Rio Barra 8 4 1 3 13:10 13
3 Buzios 7 3 3 1 15:6 12
4 Uni Souza 8 3 1 4 15:11 10
5 Uniao Central 8 3 1 4 11:15 10
6 Ceres 6 3 0 3 10:11 9
7 Caac Brazil 8 2 1 5 8:16 7
8 Independente RJ 7 1 2 4 4:8 5
Promotion - Carioca C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C (Placement Play Offs)