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Rio Branco AC vs Independencia Futebol Clube

Brazil Brazil

Acreano
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Joao Bravo
79' Event
Gabriel M.
88' Event
Matheus Nego

AI Match Summary

The Acreano game between Rio Branco AC and Independencia Futebol Clube finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rio Branco AC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Rio Branco AC
28%
Draws
50%
Independencia Futebol Clube
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Independencia Futebol Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rio Branco AC come out ahead of Independencia Futebol Clube on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Independencia Futebol Clube taking it.
  • Regular Acreano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Rio Branco AC Clean Sheet 25%
Independencia Futebol Clube Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Branco AC Independencia Futebol Clube
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1 0.75
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2026 Acreano
Rio Branco AC vs Independencia Futebol Clube
2:1
Feb 1, 2025 Acreano
Independencia Futebol Clube vs Rio Branco AC
3:0
Apr 21, 2024 Acreano
Independencia Futebol Clube vs Rio Branco AC
1:0
Apr 6, 2024 Acreano
Independencia Futebol Clube vs Rio Branco AC
2:2
Apr 23, 2023 Acreano
Rio Branco AC vs Independencia Futebol Clube
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rio Branco AC Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matheus Nego
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Independencia Futebol Clube Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Bravo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Branco AC 25 / 100
Independencia Futebol Clube 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Branco AC Independencia Futebol Clube

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IND Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rio Branco AC's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Independencia Futebol Clube let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Rio Branco AC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rio Branco AC VS Independencia Futebol Clube
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
67% Over 1.5 63%
33% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Galvez751115:616
2SC Humaita743015:315
3Santa Cruz AC741215:713
4Rio Branco AC741214:913
5Independencia Futebol Clube72149:117
6Senador Guiomard71247:125
7Sao Francisco FC (AC)71154:264
8Vasco da Gama AC712410:15-1