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Rio Branco ES vs Conilon

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-4, with Conilon advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Rio Branco ES
15%
Draws
0%
Conilon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rio Branco ES

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Conilon haven't matched Rio Branco ES's recent run of results.
  • Rio Branco ES are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Rio Branco ES have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Conilon, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Conilon here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Rio Branco ES Clean Sheet 20%
Conilon Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Branco ES Conilon
Matches Played 41 33
Wins 12 9
Draws 12 5
Losses 17 19
Goals Scored 1.2 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2013 Capixaba
Conilon vs Rio Branco ES
2:0
Mar 2, 2013 Capixaba
Rio Branco ES vs Conilon
0:3
Apr 21, 2012 Capixaba
Rio Branco ES vs Conilon
2:4
Apr 14, 2012 Capixaba
Conilon vs Rio Branco ES
2:1
Mar 10, 2012 Capixaba
Rio Branco ES vs Conilon
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Branco ES 85 / 100
Conilon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Branco ES Conilon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Branco ES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Conilon let in goals in 85% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Away concern: Conilon has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Rio Branco ES's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 41 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Rio Branco ES VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rio Branco ES

(Home)
27 Jun
Uberlandia
2 : 2
Rio Branco ES
21 Jun
Rio Branco ES
0 : 2
Uberlandia
14 Jun
Rio Branco ES
4 : 0
Porto-BA
06 Jun
Rio Branco ES
1 : 0
Serra
03 Jun
Audax Sao Mateus
0 : 4
Rio Branco ES
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Conilon

(Away)
10 May
Conilon
0 : 3
SAO Mateus
04 May
Castelo FC
3 : 0
Conilon
30 Apr
Conilon
0 : 3
Vitoria ES
26 Apr
Linhares Futebol Clube
3 : 0
Conilon
18 Apr
Conilon
0 : 3
Colatina SE
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Conilon 6
Rio Branco ES 3
Vitoria ES 2
Aracruz 2
Final
Conilon 3
Aracruz 5