Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rio Branco ES vs Conilon

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2012
Rio Branco ES Logo

Rio Branco ES

5 - 1
FT
Conilon Logo

Conilon

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Capixaba 2012 game between Rio Branco ES and Conilon finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rio Branco ES.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Rio Branco ES
15%
Draws
0%
Conilon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rio Branco ES

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rio Branco ES come out ahead of Conilon on wins alone.
  • Rio Branco ES are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Conilon have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Rio Branco ES Clean Sheet 20%
Conilon Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Branco ES Conilon
Matches Played 41 33
Wins 12 9
Draws 12 5
Losses 17 19
Goals Scored 1.2 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2013 Capixaba
Conilon vs Rio Branco ES
2:0
Mar 2, 2013 Capixaba
Rio Branco ES vs Conilon
0:3
Apr 21, 2012 Capixaba
Rio Branco ES vs Conilon
2:4
Apr 14, 2012 Capixaba
Conilon vs Rio Branco ES
2:1
Mar 10, 2012 Capixaba
Rio Branco ES vs Conilon
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Branco ES 85 / 100
Conilon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Branco ES Conilon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Branco ES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Conilon let in goals in 85% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Conilon lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Rio Branco ES scored in 63% of their last 41 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rio Branco ES VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rio Branco ES

(Home)
27 Jun
Uberlandia
2 : 2
Rio Branco ES
21 Jun
Rio Branco ES
0 : 2
Uberlandia
14 Jun
Rio Branco ES
4 : 0
Porto-BA
06 Jun
Rio Branco ES
1 : 0
Serra
03 Jun
Audax Sao Mateus
0 : 4
Rio Branco ES
Page 1 of 9

Conilon

(Away)
10 May
Conilon
0 : 3
SAO Mateus
04 May
Castelo FC
3 : 0
Conilon
30 Apr
Conilon
0 : 3
Vitoria ES
26 Apr
Linhares Futebol Clube
3 : 0
Conilon
18 Apr
Conilon
0 : 3
Colatina SE
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Branco ES 18 10 3 5 36:23 33
2 Aracruz 18 9 6 3 28:20 33
3 Vitoria ES 18 9 4 5 23:15 31
4 Conilon 18 8 6 4 40:23 30
5 Linhares Futebol Clube 18 9 3 6 27:19 30
6 SAO Mateus 18 8 2 8 17:23 26
7 Real Noroeste 18 6 4 8 21:23 22
8 Galatas 18 5 3 10 15:26 18
9 Colatina SE 18 3 8 7 21:27 17
10 Serra 18 3 1 14 20:49 10
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2012 (Play Offs)