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Rio Branco ES vs GEL

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2009
Rio Branco ES Logo

Rio Branco ES

3 - 3
FT
GEL Logo

GEL

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Capixaba 2009 game between Rio Branco ES and GEL finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Rio Branco ES
20%
Draws
40%
GEL
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rio Branco ES come out ahead of GEL on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Rio Branco ES's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Rio Branco ES Clean Sheet 18%
GEL Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Branco ES GEL
Matches Played 43 32
Wins 14 6
Draws 13 7
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 1.26 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.26 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2009 Capixaba
GEL vs Rio Branco ES
3:3
Jan 31, 2009 Capixaba
Rio Branco ES vs GEL
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Branco ES 40 / 100
GEL 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Branco ES GEL

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Branco ES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GEL's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Rio Branco ES scored in 65% of their last 43 games.

Rio Branco ES went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rio Branco ES VS GEL
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rio Branco ES

(Home)
27 Jun
Uberlandia
2 : 2
Rio Branco ES
21 Jun
Rio Branco ES
0 : 2
Uberlandia
14 Jun
Rio Branco ES
4 : 0
Porto-BA
06 Jun
Rio Branco ES
1 : 0
Serra
03 Jun
Audax Sao Mateus
0 : 4
Rio Branco ES
Page 1 of 9

GEL

(Away)
29 Aug
GEL
0 : 1
Audax Sao Mateus
26 Aug
Linhares Futebol Clube
0 : 1
GEL
18 Aug
Doze Futebol Clube
1 : 2
GEL
14 Aug
GEL
6 : 0
CTE Colatina
01 Aug
Audax Sao Mateus
0 : 0
GEL
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SAO Mateus 18 11 3 4 28:21 36
2 Rio Branco ES 18 8 7 3 35:21 31
3 Jaguare 18 9 3 6 30:25 30
4 Vilavelhense 18 8 4 6 29:27 28
5 Linhares Futebol Clube 18 8 3 7 18:19 27
6 Desportiva Ferroviaria 18 6 4 8 26:24 22
7 Rio Bananal FC 18 6 3 9 22:26 21
8 GEL 18 6 2 10 24:33 20
9 Serra 18 5 4 9 32:39 19
10 Colatinense 18 5 3 10 25:34 18
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2009 (Play Offs)