Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rio Branco ES vs Jaguare

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Capixaba 2009 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Rio Branco ES
20%
Draws
23%
Jaguare
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rio Branco ES

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Rio Branco ES have won more games recently than Jaguare.
  • Rio Branco ES are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Rio Branco ES have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Rio Branco ES, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Rio Branco ES Clean Sheet 20%
Jaguare Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Branco ES Jaguare
Matches Played 48 36
Wins 18 13
Draws 14 12
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2025 Capixaba
Rio Branco ES vs Jaguare
3:0
Jan 30, 2024 Capixaba
Jaguare vs Rio Branco ES
2:2
Apr 14, 2010 Capixaba
Jaguare vs Rio Branco ES
1:2
Feb 27, 2010 Capixaba
Rio Branco ES vs Jaguare
1:0
May 16, 2009 Capixaba
Rio Branco ES vs Jaguare
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Branco ES 85 / 100
Jaguare 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Branco ES Jaguare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Branco ES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rio Branco ES found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (48 games).

Jaguare's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 36 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Rio Branco ES went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rio Branco ES VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rio Branco ES

(Home)
27 Jun
Uberlandia
2 : 2
Rio Branco ES
21 Jun
Rio Branco ES
0 : 2
Uberlandia
14 Jun
Rio Branco ES
4 : 0
Porto-BA
06 Jun
Rio Branco ES
1 : 0
Serra
03 Jun
Audax Sao Mateus
0 : 4
Rio Branco ES
Page 1 of 10

Jaguare

(Away)
23 Feb
Rio Branco ES
3 : 0
Jaguare
18 Feb
Jaguare
1 : 0
Vitoria ES
11 Feb
Real Noroeste
1 : 1
Jaguare
08 Feb
Jaguare
0 : 2
Rio Branco-VN
05 Feb
Porto Vitoria
3 : 1
Jaguare
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Jaguare 3
Rio Branco ES 5
Vilavelhense 1
SAO Mateus 2
Final
Rio Branco ES 2
SAO Mateus 3