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Rio Branco ES vs SAO Mateus

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2017
Rio Branco ES Logo

Rio Branco ES

2 - 1
FT
SAO Mateus Logo

SAO Mateus

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Rio Branco ES in this Campeonato Capixaba 2017 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rio Branco ES.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Rio Branco ES
15%
Draws
20%
SAO Mateus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rio Branco ES

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rio Branco ES lately — more wins on the board than SAO Mateus.
  • Win probability leans Rio Branco ES's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Rio Branco ES Clean Sheet 20%
SAO Mateus Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Branco ES SAO Mateus
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 10 4
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 1.27 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.19 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2021 Capixaba
Rio Branco ES vs SAO Mateus
3:0
Feb 1, 2020 Capixaba
SAO Mateus vs Rio Branco ES
1:0
Apr 6, 2017 Capixaba
Rio Branco ES vs SAO Mateus
2:1
Mar 12, 2016 Capixaba
Rio Branco ES vs SAO Mateus
2:0
Feb 20, 2016 Capixaba
SAO Mateus vs Rio Branco ES
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Branco ES 85 / 100
SAO Mateus 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Branco ES SAO Mateus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Branco ES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SAO Mateus has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Rio Branco ES found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (37 games).

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Rio Branco ES remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rio Branco ES VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rio Branco ES

(Home)
27 Jun
Uberlandia
2 : 2
Rio Branco ES
21 Jun
Rio Branco ES
0 : 2
Uberlandia
14 Jun
Rio Branco ES
4 : 0
Porto-BA
06 Jun
Rio Branco ES
1 : 0
Serra
03 Jun
Audax Sao Mateus
0 : 4
Rio Branco ES
Page 1 of 8

SAO Mateus

(Away)
26 Oct
CTE Colatina
0 : 3
SAO Mateus
19 Oct
SAO Mateus
0 : 6
Linhares Futebol Clube
16 Oct
Pinheiros
5 : 0
SAO Mateus
03 Oct
SAO Mateus
0 : 6
Vilavelhense
28 Sept
SAO Mateus
1 : 5
CTE Colatina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CA Itapemirim 9 6 3 0 18:6 21
2 Doze Futebol Clube 9 6 1 2 15:11 19
3 Galatas 9 3 4 2 10:8 13
4 Tupy 9 3 3 3 9:12 12
5 SAO Mateus 9 3 2 4 13:14 11
6 Vitoria ES 9 2 5 2 8:10 11
7 Desportiva Ferroviaria 9 2 4 3 10:7 10
8 Rio Branco ES 9 2 4 3 10:13 10
9 Real Noroeste 9 3 1 5 10:14 10
10 Linhares Futebol Clube 9 0 3 6 5:13 3
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2017 (Play Offs)