Sport Picks
Rio Branco ES vs Vilavelhense
Brazil
Copa Espirito Santo Estadio Mario Monteiro (Sumare), Cachoeiro de Itapemirim 
Match Events
35'
35'
Palacios Cantillo J. D.
89'
89'
Breninho
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rio Branco ES
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Rio Branco ES carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Rio Branco ES's way, sitting at 60%.
- Rio Branco ES have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Rio Branco ES, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Rio Branco ES Clean Sheet 16%
Vilavelhense Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rio Branco ES | Vilavelhense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 39 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 11 |
| Draws | 13 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.05 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.01 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 28, 2026 Copa Espirito Santo
Rio Branco ES vs Vilavelhense
1:1
Jan 17, 2026 Capixaba
Vilavelhense vs Rio Branco ES
1:4
Jun 11, 2025 Copa Espirito Santo
Vilavelhense vs Rio Branco ES
0:0
Feb 13, 2025 Capixaba
Rio Branco ES vs Vilavelhense
1:0
May 22, 2024 Copa Espirito Santo
Rio Branco ES vs Vilavelhense
3:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rio Branco ES Compare
Top Goalscorer Breninho
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.51
Vilavelhense Compare
Top Goalscorer Palacios Cantillo J. D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.81
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rio Branco ES 57 / 100
Vilavelhense 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rio Branco ES Vilavelhense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Rio Branco ES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rio Branco ES's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 39 recent games.
Vilavelhense let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Rio Branco ES has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Rio Branco ES VS Vilavelhense
0.88 Goals Scored 1.43
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.14
75% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 29%
Recent Form & Match History
Rio Branco ES
(Home) 27 Jun
Uberlandia
2 : 2 Rio Branco ES
21 Jun
Rio Branco ES
0 : 2 Uberlandia
14 Jun
Rio Branco ES
4 : 0 Porto-BA
06 Jun
Rio Branco ES
1 : 0 Serra
03 Jun
Audax Sao Mateus
0 : 4 Rio Branco ES
Page 1 of 8
21 Jun
Rio Branco ES
0 : 2 Uberlandia
14 Jun
Rio Branco ES
4 : 0 Porto-BA
06 Jun
Rio Branco ES
1 : 0 Serra
28 May
Rio Branco ES
1 : 1 Vilavelhense
27 May
Rio Branco ES
2 : 1 Anapolis
Page 1 of 4
Vilavelhense
(Away) 23 Jun
Vitoria ES
1 : 0 Vilavelhense
17 Jun
Vilavelhense
2 : 2 Vitoria ES
06 Jun
Vilavelhense
2 : 0 Audax Sao Mateus
03 Jun
Vilavelhense
1 : 0 Vitoria ES
28 May
Rio Branco ES
1 : 1 Vilavelhense
Page 1 of 6
23 Jun
Vitoria ES
1 : 0 Vilavelhense
28 May
Rio Branco ES
1 : 1 Vilavelhense
09 May
Serra
2 : 3 Vilavelhense
03 May
Rio Branco-VN
2 : 0 Vilavelhense
15 Mar
Serra
1 : 0 Vilavelhense
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto Vitoria | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14:5 | 16 |
| 2 | Vitoria ES | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:8 | 13 |
| 3 | Vilavelhense | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 13 |
| 4 | Rio Branco-VN | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6:4 | 13 |
| 5 | Rio Branco ES | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | 11 |
| 6 | Sport-ES | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3:13 | 6 |
| 7 | Serra | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:10 | 4 |
| 8 | Audax Sao Mateus | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2:13 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa Espirito Santo (Play Offs)
