Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rio Branco SP vs Fernandopolis

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rio Branco SP in this Paulista A4 2019 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Rio Branco SP
15%
Draws
12%
Fernandopolis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rio Branco SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Not much separates Rio Branco SP and Fernandopolis on recent form.
  • Model gives Rio Branco SP a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Rio Branco SP, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Rio Branco SP here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Rio Branco SP Clean Sheet 18%
Fernandopolis Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Branco SP Fernandopolis
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 11 2
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1.41 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2023 Paulista A4
Rio Branco SP vs Fernandopolis
4:1
Jul 8, 2023 Paulista A4
Fernandopolis vs Rio Branco SP
0:2
Oct 6, 2019 Paulista A4
Fernandopolis vs Rio Branco SP
3:0
Sep 28, 2019 Paulista A4
Rio Branco SP vs Fernandopolis
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Branco SP 58 / 100
Fernandopolis 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Branco SP Fernandopolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Branco SP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fernandopolis has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Fernandopolis lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Rio Branco SP scored in 56% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rio Branco SP VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rio Branco SP

(Home)
21 Mar
Rio Branco SP
0 : 2
Bandeirante
14 Mar
Uniao Suzano
1 : 2
Rio Branco SP
11 Mar
Rio Branco SP
3 : 2
Itapirense
07 Mar
Rio Branco SP
0 : 2
Marilia
04 Mar
EC Sao Bernardo
4 : 0
Rio Branco SP
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Fernandopolis

(Away)
22 Jun
Fernandopolis
3 : 4
Olimpia FC
15 Jun
Tupa
2 : 0
Fernandopolis
09 Jun
Fernandopolis
0 : 4
Inter de Bebedouro
02 Jun
Fernandopolis
0 : 0
AEA Aracatuba
25 May
Tanabi
4 : 1
Fernandopolis
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Sao Jose EC 2
Marilia 4
Rio Branco SP 2
Fernandopolis 4
Francana 3
Flamengo SP 5
Assisense 0
Paulista 4
Semi-finals
Marilia 3
Fernandopolis 1
Flamengo SP 1
Paulista 4
Final
Marilia 3
Paulista 3