Sport Picks
Rio Branco SP vs Guarani B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Copa Paulista 2025 
Match Events
10'
10'
Renan Tavares
Own Goal
36'
36'
Leo Coltro
41'
41'
Marcelo
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-2. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
73%
15%
12%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rio Branco SP
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Rio Branco SP come out ahead of Guarani B on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Rio Branco SP have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Rio Branco SP Clean Sheet 16%
Guarani B Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rio Branco SP | Guarani B |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 16 |
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 11 | 3 |
| Losses | 14 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.87 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.40 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2025 Copa Paulista
Rio Branco SP vs Guarani B
2:2
Jul 14, 2025 Copa Paulista
Guarani B vs Rio Branco SP
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rio Branco SP Compare
Top Goalscorer Marcelo
1 Goals Assists Leader Felipe I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7
Guarani B Compare
Top Goalscorer Leo Coltro
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rio Branco SP 31 / 100
Guarani B 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rio Branco SP Guarani B
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Guarani B has conceded goals in 88% of their last 16 outings.
Games between these two average 2.50 goals.
Away concern: Guarani B has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Rio Branco SP's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Rio Branco SP VS Guarani B
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.67
75% Over 1.5 67%
75% Over 2.5 67%
50% Over 3.5 33%
Recent Form & Match History
Rio Branco SP
(Home) 21 Mar
Rio Branco SP
0 : 2 Bandeirante
14 Mar
Uniao Suzano
1 : 2 Rio Branco SP
11 Mar
Rio Branco SP
3 : 2 Itapirense
07 Mar
Rio Branco SP
0 : 2 Marilia
04 Mar
EC Sao Bernardo
4 : 0 Rio Branco SP
Page 1 of 6
21 Mar
Rio Branco SP
0 : 2 Bandeirante
11 Mar
Rio Branco SP
3 : 2 Itapirense
07 Mar
Rio Branco SP
0 : 2 Marilia
28 Feb
Rio Branco SP
1 : 2 Uniao Barbarense
21 Feb
Rio Branco SP
0 : 0 Catanduva FC
Page 1 of 3
Guarani B
(Away) 16 Aug
Rio Branco SP
2 : 2 Guarani B
11 Aug
Guarani B
1 : 2 Sao Bento
01 Aug
Piracicaba
1 : 0 Guarani B
28 Jul
Guarani B
0 : 3 Primavera EC
19 Jul
Paulista
1 : 0 Guarani B
Page 1 of 4
16 Aug
Rio Branco SP
2 : 2 Guarani B
01 Aug
Piracicaba
1 : 0 Guarani B
19 Jul
Paulista
1 : 0 Guarani B
05 Jul
Sao Bento
0 : 0 Guarani B
21 Jun
Primavera EC
4 : 3 Guarani B
Page 1 of 2
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gremio Prudente | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 12:6 | 16 |
| 2 | Monte Azul | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:7 | 14 |
| 3 | Noroeste | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:7 | 11 |
| 4 | AEA Aracatuba | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:9 | 8 |
| 5 | Linense | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:11 | 5 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uniao Sao Joao | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15:10 | 19 |
| 2 | Comercial | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 3 | Internacional de Limeira | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 4 | Francana | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 8:8 | 14 |
| 5 | Botafogo SP B | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:12 | 9 |
| 6 | Itapirense | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 11:20 | 7 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Piracicaba | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 13:4 | 24 |
| 2 | Primavera EC | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 3 | Paulista | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:10 | 13 |
| 4 | Sao Bento | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 5 | Guarani B | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10:16 | 8 |
| 6 | Rio Branco SP | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 6:13 | 5 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sao Jose EC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:7 | 20 |
| 2 | Portuguesa Santista | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 11:8 | 15 |
| 3 | Osasco Sporting | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | 14 |
| 4 | Sao Caetano | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 8:11 | 13 |
| 5 | Taubate | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9:10 | 10 |
| 6 | Santo Andre | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4:13 | 8 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)
