Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rio Branco SP vs Mogi Mirim - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 2021 game between Rio Branco SP and Mogi Mirim finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rio Branco SP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Rio Branco SP
15%
Draws
51%
Mogi Mirim
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mogi Mirim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Mogi Mirim have managed 0.73 goals a game lately — Rio Branco SP are scoring more at 0.88.
  • Model gives Mogi Mirim a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Paulista A4 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Rio Branco SP Clean Sheet 15%
Mogi Mirim Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Branco SP Mogi Mirim
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 11 6
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 0.88 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2021 Paulista A4
Rio Branco SP vs Mogi Mirim
2:0
Aug 25, 2021 Paulista A4
Mogi Mirim vs Rio Branco SP
1:0
Mar 17, 2018 Paulista A3
Rio Branco SP vs Mogi Mirim
4:1
Jan 21, 2010 Paulista
Mogi Mirim vs Rio Branco SP
2:2
Feb 21, 2008 Paulista A2
Rio Branco SP vs Mogi Mirim
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Branco SP 10 / 100
Mogi Mirim 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Branco SP Mogi Mirim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mogi Mirim Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mogi Mirim let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Rio Branco SP scored in 53% of their last 32 outings.

Recent resilience: Rio Branco SP stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rio Branco SP VS Mogi Mirim
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rio Branco SP

(Home)
21 Mar
Rio Branco SP
0 : 2
Bandeirante
14 Mar
Uniao Suzano
1 : 2
Rio Branco SP
11 Mar
Rio Branco SP
3 : 2
Itapirense
07 Mar
Rio Branco SP
0 : 2
Marilia
04 Mar
EC Sao Bernardo
4 : 0
Rio Branco SP
Page 1 of 7

Mogi Mirim

(Away)
20 Jun
Matonense
2 : 1
Mogi Mirim
13 Jun
Mogi Mirim
1 : 0
Santacruzense
07 Jun
Catanduvense
0 : 6
Mogi Mirim
30 May
Independente SP
4 : 1
Mogi Mirim
23 May
Mogi Mirim
3 : 1
Sao Carlos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Matonense 10 7 2 1 13:5 23
2 Taquaritinga 10 5 2 3 15:8 17
3 Catanduva FC 10 4 3 3 12:11 15
4 Inter de Bebedouro 10 4 3 3 15:9 15
5 Fernandopolis 10 1 4 5 13:20 7
6 America SP 10 1 2 7 8:23 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 XV de Jau 10 7 2 1 12:7 23
2 Gremio Prudente 10 5 2 3 15:10 17
3 Vocem 10 4 4 2 10:7 16
4 Assisense 10 4 1 5 9:11 13
5 Santacruzense 10 2 3 5 7:8 9
6 Osvaldo Cruz 10 1 2 7 7:17 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Branco SP 10 7 2 1 18:8 23
2 Independente SP 10 5 3 2 12:9 18
3 Sao-Carlense 10 4 5 1 12:6 17
4 Sao Carlos 10 3 2 5 9:13 11
5 Itapirense 10 1 3 6 5:12 6
6 Mogi Mirim 10 1 3 6 3:11 6
Promotion - Paulista A4 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SP 10 8 2 0 18:5 26
2 Paulista 10 5 3 2 18:7 18
3 Colorado Caieiras 10 3 3 4 12:13 12
4 Mauaense 10 3 2 5 14:22 11
5 Guarulhos 10 2 3 5 14:21 9
6 Barcelona SP 10 1 3 6 13:21 6
Promotion - Paulista A4 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uniao Suzano 10 8 2 0 24:3 26
2 Maua FC 10 6 3 1 23:9 21
3 Uniao Mogi 10 4 1 5 15:10 13
4 ECUS SP 10 4 1 5 12:22 13
5 Manthiqueira 10 3 3 4 13:12 12
6 Atletico Mogi 10 0 0 10 6:37 0
Promotion - Paulista A4 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams