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Rio Branco SP vs XV de Jau - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Felipe Siedekum
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A3 game between Rio Branco SP and XV de Jau finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward XV de Jau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Rio Branco SP
15%
Draws
53%
XV de Jau
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: XV de Jau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • XV de Jau carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives XV de Jau a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Paulista A3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Rio Branco SP Clean Sheet 18%
XV de Jau Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Branco SP XV de Jau
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 5 13
Draws 12 8
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 0.85 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.45 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 Paulista A3
Rio Branco SP vs XV de Jau
0:1
Jan 29, 2025 Paulista A3
XV de Jau vs Rio Branco SP
0:2
Apr 28, 2024 Paulista A4
XV de Jau vs Rio Branco SP
0:3
Apr 20, 2024 Paulista A4
Rio Branco SP vs XV de Jau
1:1
Mar 20, 2024 Paulista A4
Rio Branco SP vs XV de Jau
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Branco SP 10 / 100
XV de Jau 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Branco SP XV de Jau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick XV de Jau Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Rio Branco SP's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

XV de Jau has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Rio Branco SP remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rio Branco SP VS XV de Jau
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rio Branco SP

(Home)
21 Mar
Rio Branco SP
0 : 2
Bandeirante
14 Mar
Uniao Suzano
1 : 2
Rio Branco SP
11 Mar
Rio Branco SP
3 : 2
Itapirense
07 Mar
Rio Branco SP
0 : 2
Marilia
04 Mar
EC Sao Bernardo
4 : 0
Rio Branco SP
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XV de Jau

(Away)
18 Apr
Marilia
3 : 2
XV de Jau
12 Apr
XV de Jau
0 : 0
Marilia
05 Apr
XV de Jau
2 : 0
Rio Claro
28 Mar
Rio Claro
0 : 1
XV de Jau
21 Mar
Desportivo
1 : 2
XV de Jau
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portuguesa Santista 15 12 0 3 26:9 36
2 Marilia 15 9 5 1 23:6 32
3 Rio Preto EC 15 8 5 2 24:13 29
4 XV de Jau 15 8 3 4 16:11 27
5 Rio Claro 15 7 4 4 19:16 25
6 Uniao Barbarense 15 6 6 3 16:14 24
7 EC Sao Bernardo 15 6 5 4 22:15 23
8 Paulista 15 6 5 4 20:13 23
9 Uniao Sao Joao 15 6 4 5 16:15 22
10 Catanduva FC 15 5 6 4 16:15 21
11 Bandeirante 15 4 6 5 15:19 18
12 Rio Branco SP 15 4 4 7 13:24 16
13 Francana 15 3 1 11 13:22 10
14 Itapirense 15 2 3 10 14:26 9
15 Desportivo 15 1 5 9 8:25 8
16 Uniao Suzano 15 1 2 12 10:28 5
Promotion - Paulista A3 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista A4 2027 (Main)