Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rio Branco-VN vs Porto Vitoria

Brazil Brazil

Copa Espirito Santo Estádio Olímpio Perim, Venda Nova do Imigrante
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Luiz Henrique

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-3. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Rio Branco-VN
30%
Draws
27%
Porto Vitoria
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rio Branco-VN

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Porto Vitoria come out ahead of Rio Branco-VN on wins alone.
  • Rio Branco-VN are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Porto Vitoria arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Rio Branco-VN, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Rio Branco-VN Clean Sheet 20%
Porto Vitoria Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Branco-VN Porto Vitoria
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 8 14
Draws 10 8
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Copa Espirito Santo
Porto Vitoria vs Rio Branco-VN
3:3
Jun 14, 2026 Copa Espirito Santo
Rio Branco-VN vs Porto Vitoria
1:0
May 10, 2026 Copa Espirito Santo
Rio Branco-VN vs Porto Vitoria
0:1
Jan 29, 2026 Capixaba
Porto Vitoria vs Rio Branco-VN
2:2
Jun 29, 2025 Copa Espirito Santo
Rio Branco-VN vs Porto Vitoria
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rio Branco-VN Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Porto Vitoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Luiz Henrique
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Branco-VN 36 / 100
Porto Vitoria 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Branco-VN Porto Vitoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Rio Branco-VN stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Porto Vitoria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Rio Branco-VN found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

Rio Branco-VN VS Porto Vitoria
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rio Branco-VN

(Home)
01 Jul
Vitoria ES
0 : 1
Rio Branco-VN
20 Jun
Porto Vitoria
3 : 3
Rio Branco-VN
14 Jun
Rio Branco-VN
1 : 0
Porto Vitoria
06 Jun
Vitoria ES
0 : 1
Rio Branco-VN
31 May
Sport-ES
0 : 2
Rio Branco-VN
Page 1 of 6

Porto Vitoria

(Away)
20 Jun
Porto Vitoria
3 : 3
Rio Branco-VN
14 Jun
Rio Branco-VN
1 : 0
Porto Vitoria
06 Jun
Porto Vitoria
3 : 0
Sport-ES
30 May
Serra
1 : 1
Porto Vitoria
22 May
Porto Vitoria
3 : 0
Audax Sao Mateus
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Porto Vitoria 7 5 1 1 14:5 16
2 Vitoria ES 7 4 1 2 16:8 13
3 Vilavelhense 7 4 1 2 10:8 13
4 Rio Branco-VN 7 4 1 2 6:4 13
5 Rio Branco ES 7 3 2 2 11:7 11
6 Sport-ES 7 2 0 5 3:13 6
7 Serra 7 1 1 5 6:10 4
8 Audax Sao Mateus 7 1 1 5 2:13 4
Promotion - Copa Espirito Santo (Play Offs)