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Rio Branco-VN vs Porto Vitoria

Brazil Brazil

Copa Espirito Santo Estádio Olímpio Perim
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Luiz Henrique

AI Match Summary

The Copa Espirito Santo game between Rio Branco-VN and Porto Vitoria finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Porto Vitoria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Rio Branco-VN
30%
Draws
34%
Porto Vitoria
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rio Branco-VN

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Porto Vitoria come out ahead of Rio Branco-VN on wins alone.
  • Rio Branco-VN are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Rio Branco-VN Clean Sheet 20%
Porto Vitoria Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Branco-VN Porto Vitoria
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 9 15
Draws 10 8
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 0.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Copa Espirito Santo
Porto Vitoria vs Rio Branco-VN
3:3
Jun 14, 2026 Copa Espirito Santo
Rio Branco-VN vs Porto Vitoria
1:0
May 10, 2026 Copa Espirito Santo
Rio Branco-VN vs Porto Vitoria
0:1
Jan 29, 2026 Capixaba
Porto Vitoria vs Rio Branco-VN
2:2
Jun 29, 2025 Copa Espirito Santo
Rio Branco-VN vs Porto Vitoria
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rio Branco-VN Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Porto Vitoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Luiz Henrique
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Branco-VN 36 / 100
Porto Vitoria 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Branco-VN Porto Vitoria

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Rio Branco-VN stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Porto Vitoria conceded in 67% of 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Rio Branco-VN scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rio Branco-VN VS Porto Vitoria
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Porto Vitoria751114:516
2Vitoria ES741216:813
3Vilavelhense741210:813
4Rio Branco-VN74126:413
5Rio Branco ES732211:711
6Sport-ES72053:136
7Serra71156:104
8Audax Sao Mateus71152:134