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Rio Claro vs Rio Preto EC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3
Rio Claro Logo

Rio Claro

2 - 1
FT
Rio Preto EC Logo

Rio Preto EC

Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
de Oliveira Valerio V.
43' Event
Souza L.
71' Event
Joao Vitor
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A3 game between Rio Claro and Rio Preto EC finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rio Claro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Rio Claro
20%
Draws
58%
Rio Preto EC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rio Preto EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Rio Preto EC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Rio Preto EC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Rio Claro Clean Sheet 13%
Rio Preto EC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Claro Rio Preto EC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 11 11
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 0.9 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.23 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Paulista A3
Rio Claro vs Rio Preto EC
2:1
Apr 15, 2017 Paulista A2
Rio Preto EC vs Rio Claro
4:1
Mar 18, 2012 Paulista A2
Rio Preto EC vs Rio Claro
2:0
Mar 27, 2011 Paulista A2
Rio Claro vs Rio Preto EC
2:1
Feb 13, 2011 Paulista A2
Rio Preto EC vs Rio Claro
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rio Claro Compare

Top Goalscorer Souza L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Joao Vitor
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Rio Preto EC Compare

Top Goalscorer de Oliveira Valerio V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Claro 10 / 100
Rio Preto EC 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Claro Rio Preto EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Preto EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rio Claro scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Rio Preto EC has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Rio Claro went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rio Claro VS Rio Preto EC
1 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rio Claro

(Home)
05 Apr
XV de Jau
2 : 0
Rio Claro
28 Mar
Rio Claro
0 : 1
XV de Jau
21 Mar
Rio Claro
3 : 1
Uniao Suzano
15 Mar
Francana
3 : 0
Rio Claro
11 Mar
Rio Claro
0 : 1
XV de Jau
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Rio Preto EC

(Away)
18 Apr
Portuguesa Santista
1 : 1
Rio Preto EC
11 Apr
Rio Preto EC
0 : 1
Portuguesa Santista
04 Apr
Rio Preto EC
0 : 0
Uniao Barbarense
28 Mar
Uniao Barbarense
0 : 3
Rio Preto EC
21 Mar
Itapirense
0 : 1
Rio Preto EC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portuguesa Santista 15 12 0 3 26:9 36
2 Marilia 15 9 5 1 23:6 32
3 Rio Preto EC 15 8 5 2 24:13 29
4 XV de Jau 15 8 3 4 16:11 27
5 Rio Claro 15 7 4 4 19:16 25
6 Uniao Barbarense 15 6 6 3 16:14 24
7 EC Sao Bernardo 15 6 5 4 22:15 23
8 Paulista 15 6 5 4 20:13 23
9 Uniao Sao Joao 15 6 4 5 16:15 22
10 Catanduva FC 15 5 6 4 16:15 21
11 Bandeirante 15 4 6 5 15:19 18
12 Rio Branco SP 15 4 4 7 13:24 16
13 Francana 15 3 1 11 13:22 10
14 Itapirense 15 2 3 10 14:26 9
15 Desportivo 15 1 5 9 8:25 8
16 Uniao Suzano 15 1 2 12 10:28 5
Promotion - Paulista A3 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista A4 2027 (Main)