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Rio Claro vs XV de Jau - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3
Our Tip

Match Events

60'
Gabriel Neto
60'
Gabriel Neto
77' Event
Lauder

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Rio Claro
15%
Draws
65%
XV de Jau
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: XV de Jau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Rio Claro haven't matched XV de Jau's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans XV de Jau's way, sitting at 90%.
  • XV de Jau arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor XV de Jau, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and XV de Jau have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Rio Claro Clean Sheet 23%
XV de Jau Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Claro XV de Jau
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 11 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.9 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.23 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Paulista A3
XV de Jau vs Rio Claro
2:0
Mar 28, 2026 Paulista A3
Rio Claro vs XV de Jau
0:1
Mar 11, 2026 Paulista A3
Rio Claro vs XV de Jau
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rio Claro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

XV de Jau Compare

Top Goalscorer Lauder
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Claro 10 / 100
XV de Jau 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Claro XV de Jau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick XV de Jau Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rio Claro scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

XV de Jau's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.33 goals per match.

Rio Claro went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rio Claro VS XV de Jau
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rio Claro

(Home)
05 Apr
XV de Jau
2 : 0
Rio Claro
28 Mar
Rio Claro
0 : 1
XV de Jau
21 Mar
Rio Claro
3 : 1
Uniao Suzano
15 Mar
Francana
3 : 0
Rio Claro
11 Mar
Rio Claro
0 : 1
XV de Jau
Page 1 of 6

XV de Jau

(Away)
18 Apr
Marilia
3 : 2
XV de Jau
12 Apr
XV de Jau
0 : 0
Marilia
05 Apr
XV de Jau
2 : 0
Rio Claro
28 Mar
Rio Claro
0 : 1
XV de Jau
21 Mar
Desportivo
1 : 2
XV de Jau
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Marilia 3
EC Sao Bernardo 2
XV de Jau 3
Rio Claro 0
Portuguesa Santista 3
Paulista 2
Rio Preto EC 3
Uniao Barbarense 0
Semi-finals
Marilia 3
XV de Jau 2
Portuguesa Santista 2
Rio Preto EC 1
Final
Marilia 2
Portuguesa Santista 4