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Rio Norte vs Lagoa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Amapaense 2
Rio Norte Logo

Rio Norte

3 - 1
FT
Lagoa Logo

Lagoa

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Amapaense 2 game between Rio Norte and Lagoa finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rio Norte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Rio Norte
15%
Draws
16%
Lagoa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rio Norte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rio Norte come out ahead of Lagoa on wins alone.
  • Model gives Rio Norte a 69% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Amapaense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Rio Norte Clean Sheet 20%
Lagoa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Norte Lagoa
Matches Played 8 6
Wins 7 1
Draws 1 0
Losses 0 5
Goals Scored 2.25 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.25 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.29 0.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Amapaense 2
Rio Norte vs Lagoa
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Norte 85 / 100
Lagoa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Norte Lagoa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Norte Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rio Norte scored in 88% of their last 8 outings.

Lagoa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 6 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Rio Norte stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rio Norte VS Lagoa
2.25 Goals Scored 0.83
0.25 Goals Conceded 2.33
63% Over 1.5 83%
38% Over 2.5 83%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rio Norte

(Home)
26 Jun
Portuguesa AP
0 : 2
Rio Norte
22 Jun
Rio Norte
2 : 0
Sao Paulo AP
15 Jun
Rio Norte
0 : 0
Portuguesa AP
07 Jun
Santana EC
1 : 6
Rio Norte
30 May
Rio Norte
1 : 0
Cruzeiro AP
Page 1 of 2

Lagoa

(Away)
12 Jun
Sao Paulo AP
4 : 0
Lagoa
02 Jun
Lagoa
1 : 3
ADEC
29 May
Canario
2 : 1
Lagoa
24 May
Lagoa
2 : 1
Bare AP
16 May
Rio Norte
3 : 1
Lagoa
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portuguesa AP 6 4 1 1 15:6 13
2 Cruzeiro AP 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
3 Santana EC 6 4 1 1 14:10 13
4 Latitude Zero 6 3 0 3 12:11 9
5 Lagoa 6 1 0 5 5:14 3
6 Renovacao 6 0 1 5 3:12 1
Promotion - Amapaense 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Norte 6 5 1 0 14:2 16
2 Sao Paulo AP 6 4 1 1 12:5 13
3 Canario 6 3 0 3 9:13 9
4 Mazagao 6 2 1 3 9:12 7
5 ADEC 6 1 1 4 10:17 4
6 Bare AP 6 1 0 5 6:13 3
Promotion - Amapaense 2 (Play Offs)