Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rio Preto EC vs Rio Branco SP

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Vinicius Sousa
34' Event
Edipo
53' Event
Joao Gabriel

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paulista A3 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Rio Preto EC
20%
Draws
34%
Rio Branco SP
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rio Preto EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Rio Preto EC have won more games recently than Rio Branco SP.
  • Rio Preto EC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Paulista A3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Rio Preto EC Clean Sheet 68%
Rio Branco SP Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Preto EC Rio Branco SP
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 5
Draws 11 12
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Paulista A3
Rio Preto EC vs Rio Branco SP
2:2
Jan 26, 2025 Paulista A3
Rio Branco SP vs Rio Preto EC
1:1
Feb 14, 2018 Paulista A3
Rio Branco SP vs Rio Preto EC
1:0
Feb 18, 2009 Paulista A2
Rio Preto EC vs Rio Branco SP
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rio Preto EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinicius Sousa
1 Goals
Assists Leader Edipo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Rio Branco SP Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Gabriel
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gabriel V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Preto EC 95 / 100
Rio Branco SP 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Preto EC Rio Branco SP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Preto EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rio Preto EC found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Rio Branco SP let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Rio Preto EC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rio Preto EC VS Rio Branco SP
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rio Preto EC

(Home)
18 Apr
Portuguesa Santista
1 : 1
Rio Preto EC
11 Apr
Rio Preto EC
0 : 1
Portuguesa Santista
04 Apr
Rio Preto EC
0 : 0
Uniao Barbarense
28 Mar
Uniao Barbarense
0 : 3
Rio Preto EC
21 Mar
Itapirense
0 : 1
Rio Preto EC
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Rio Branco SP

(Away)
21 Mar
Rio Branco SP
0 : 2
Bandeirante
14 Mar
Uniao Suzano
1 : 2
Rio Branco SP
11 Mar
Rio Branco SP
3 : 2
Itapirense
07 Mar
Rio Branco SP
0 : 2
Marilia
04 Mar
EC Sao Bernardo
4 : 0
Rio Branco SP
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portuguesa Santista 15 12 0 3 26:9 36
2 Marilia 15 9 5 1 23:6 32
3 Rio Preto EC 15 8 5 2 24:13 29
4 XV de Jau 15 8 3 4 16:11 27
5 Rio Claro 15 7 4 4 19:16 25
6 Uniao Barbarense 15 6 6 3 16:14 24
7 EC Sao Bernardo 15 6 5 4 22:15 23
8 Paulista 15 6 5 4 20:13 23
9 Uniao Sao Joao 15 6 4 5 16:15 22
10 Catanduva FC 15 5 6 4 16:15 21
11 Bandeirante 15 4 6 5 15:19 18
12 Rio Branco SP 15 4 4 7 13:24 16
13 Francana 15 3 1 11 13:22 10
14 Itapirense 15 2 3 10 14:26 9
15 Desportivo 15 1 5 9 8:25 8
16 Uniao Suzano 15 1 2 12 10:28 5
Promotion - Paulista A3 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista A4 2027 (Main)