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Rio San Juan vs Fancesa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Simon Bolivar 2025
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Rio San Juan advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Rio San Juan
30%
Draws
23%
Fancesa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rio San Juan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Fancesa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Rio San Juan a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Fancesa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Rio San Juan, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Rio San Juan Clean Sheet 10%
Fancesa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio San Juan Fancesa
Matches Played 16 30
Wins 5 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.31 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
Fancesa vs Rio San Juan
1:1
Sep 6, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
Rio San Juan vs Fancesa
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio San Juan 38 / 100
Fancesa 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio San Juan Fancesa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio San Juan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rio San Juan scored in 81% of their last 16 games.

Fancesa let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Rio San Juan has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rio San Juan VS Fancesa
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Rio San Juan

(Home)
09 Nov
Rio San Juan
0 : 0
Real Potosi
02 Nov
Real Potosi
2 : 0
Rio San Juan
26 Oct
Rio San Juan
1 : 1
Pucarani
11 Oct
Pucarani
0 : 1
Rio San Juan
27 Sept
C.A. Chocorosi
0 : 3
Rio San Juan
Page 1 of 4

Fancesa

(Away)
26 Oct
Universitario de Sucre
4 : 1
Fancesa
11 Oct
Fancesa
1 : 3
Universitario de Sucre
28 Sept
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
2 : 1
Fancesa
21 Sept
Fancesa
1 : 1
Rio San Juan
14 Sept
Fancesa
8 : 0
C.A. Chocorosi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 6 5 0 1 18:5 15
2 Rio San Juan 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
3 Fancesa 6 2 1 3 16:13 7
4 C.A. Chocorosi 6 0 0 6 3:24 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 1 de Mayo 6 5 0 1 11:2 15
2 CD Guadalajara 6 3 0 3 7:8 9
3 Central Union 6 2 0 4 8:9 6
4 Ingenieros 6 2 0 4 5:12 6
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Potosi 6 3 2 1 10:5 11
2 Torre Fuerte 6 3 0 3 9:9 9
3 Nueva Cliza 6 2 3 1 7:7 9
4 Nacional Sucre 6 1 1 4 7:12 4
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Juan FC 6 3 2 1 12:5 11
2 Olympic FC 6 2 3 1 9:3 9
3 CD Ingenio 6 2 2 2 9:11 8
4 Chaco FC 6 0 3 3 7:18 3
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Universitario de Sucre 6 6 0 0 26:5 18
2 Deportivo Shalon 6 2 0 4 19:12 6
3 Libertad FC 6 2 0 4 6:14 6
4 3 de Febrero 6 2 0 4 6:26 6
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tiquipaya 6 5 1 0 18:5 16
2 Municipal de Tarija 6 3 1 2 16:9 10
3 Pucarani 6 3 0 3 11:6 9
4 Universitario de Pando 6 0 0 6 6:31 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams