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Riopretano vs Tupa

Brazil Brazil

Paulista B
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Riquelmi R.
63' Event
David Lazari
90'
Alves R.

AI Match Summary

Tupa in this Paulista B matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tupa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Riopretano
20%
Draws
30%
Tupa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Riopretano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tupa lately — more wins on the board than Riopretano.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Riopretano taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Riopretano Clean Sheet 68%
Tupa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Riopretano Tupa
Matches Played 10 30
Wins 1 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 0.9 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Paulista B
Riopretano vs Tupa
0:1
May 9, 2026 Paulista B
Tupa vs Riopretano
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Riopretano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Tupa Compare

Top Goalscorer David Lazari
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Riopretano 68 / 100
Tupa 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Riopretano Tupa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Riopretano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tupa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Riopretano has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Tupa registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Riopretano VS Tupa
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Riopretano

(Home)
20 Jun
Assisense
4 : 4
Riopretano
14 Jun
Riopretano
0 : 1
Tupa
07 Jun
Jose Bonifacio EC
1 : 1
Riopretano
30 May
America SP
2 : 0
Riopretano
24 May
Riopretano
2 : 1
Santa Fe SP
Page 1 of 2

Tupa

(Away)
05 Jul
Independente SP
2 : 0
Tupa
28 Jun
Tupa
0 : 2
Independente SP
20 Jun
Tupa
1 : 2
Santa Fe SP
14 Jun
Riopretano
0 : 1
Tupa
06 Jun
America SP
3 : 1
Tupa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jose Bonifacio EC 10 6 4 0 17:6 22
2 America SP 10 5 4 1 13:7 19
3 Assisense 10 3 5 2 17:15 14
4 Tupa 10 4 1 5 14:16 13
5 Riopretano 10 1 4 5 9:16 7
6 Santa Fe SP 10 2 0 8 10:20 6
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente SP 10 8 0 2 37:7 24
2 Matonense 10 7 1 2 28:10 22
3 Sao Carlos 10 4 3 3 19:11 15
4 Santacruzense 10 4 2 4 19:13 14
5 Mogi Mirim 10 4 0 6 15:15 12
6 Catanduvense 10 0 0 10 4:66 0
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SP 10 7 2 1 13:6 23
2 Paulinense 10 5 0 5 9:16 15
3 Audax-SP 10 5 1 4 15:9 13
4 Paulinia FU 10 3 1 6 11:14 10
5 Votoraty SP 10 2 1 7 12:19 7
6 Guarulhos 10 5 1 4 19:15 4
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itaqua 10 8 1 1 21:6 25
2 Maua FC 10 4 4 2 20:15 16
3 Uniao Mogi 10 5 2 3 14:13 14
4 Manthiqueira 10 4 2 4 17:17 14
5 Mauaense 10 3 3 4 10:10 12
6 Barcelona SP 10 0 0 10 5:26 0
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)