Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Riteriai 2 vs BFA Vilnius - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Osipovic A.
17' Event
Buzas T.
56' Event
Misiunas D.

AI Match Summary

The I Lyga 2023 game between Riteriai 2 and BFA Vilnius finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward BFA Vilnius.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Riteriai 2
20%
Draws
46%
BFA Vilnius
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: BFA Vilnius

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • BFA Vilnius carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Riteriai 2 taking it.
  • Regular I Lyga 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Riteriai 2 Clean Sheet 18%
BFA Vilnius Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Riteriai 2 BFA Vilnius
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 13 17
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.63 1.49
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 22, 2023 I Lyga
Riteriai 2 vs BFA Vilnius
1:3
Jun 4, 2023 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs Riteriai 2
1:1
Oct 15, 2022 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs Riteriai 2
3:1
Jun 10, 2022 I Lyga
Riteriai 2 vs BFA Vilnius
2:2
Oct 16, 2021 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs Riteriai 2
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Riteriai 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Buzas T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

BFA Vilnius Compare

Top Goalscorer Osipovic A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Misiunas D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Riteriai 2 41 / 100
BFA Vilnius 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Riteriai 2 BFA Vilnius

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Riteriai 2's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

BFA Vilnius let in goals in 74% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Riteriai 2 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS BFA Vilnius
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Riteriai 2

(Home)
08 Nov
BE1 NFA
3 : 1
Riteriai 2
03 Nov
Riteriai 2
3 : 0
Marijampole City
31 Oct
Riteriai 2
0 : 1
BE1 NFA
27 Oct
FK Babrungas
2 : 3
Riteriai 2
22 Oct
Riteriai 2
1 : 3
BFA Vilnius
Page 1 of 6

BFA Vilnius

(Away)
26 Sept
FK Panevezys
2 : 0
BFA Vilnius
19 Sept
FK Atmosfera
1 : 1
BFA Vilnius
12 Sept
Garliava
2 : 3
BFA Vilnius
04 Sept
BFA Vilnius
2 : 1
FK Babrungas
28 Aug
Tauras Taurage
2 : 2
BFA Vilnius
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Transinvest 30 22 4 4 83:29 70
2 BE1 NFA 30 17 5 8 51:30 56
3 Nevezis Kedainiai 30 14 9 7 47:32 51
4 Neptunas 30 14 9 7 57:33 51
5 FK Babrungas 30 15 6 9 60:49 51
6 FK Minija 30 15 6 9 45:37 51
7 Riteriai 2 30 13 7 10 49:33 46
8 Garliava 30 9 13 8 43:37 40
9 Ekranas 30 11 6 13 42:49 39
10 BFA Vilnius 30 10 8 12 40:41 38
11 Marijampole City 30 11 2 17 27:64 35
12 Siauliai 2 30 9 6 15 47:66 33
13 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 30 8 8 14 40:49 32
14 FK Panevezys 2 30 8 7 15 45:59 31
15 Zalgiris 2 30 7 7 16 46:66 28
16 Jonava 30 4 3 23 28:76 15
Promotion - A Lyga 2024 (Main)
Promotion - A Lyga 2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2023 (Relegation)