Sport Picks

Stadium Background

River Ebro vs Berceo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Charaf Moutai A.
26' Event
Navajas A.
67' Event
Charaf Moutai A.

AI Match Summary

River Ebro in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored River Ebro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
River Ebro
15%
Draws
42%
Berceo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: River Ebro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Berceo have won more games recently than River Ebro.
  • Model gives River Ebro a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
River Ebro Clean Sheet 20%
Berceo Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric River Ebro Berceo
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.89 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.60 0.78
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
River Ebro vs Berceo
3:1
Dec 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Berceo vs River Ebro
0:1
Feb 4, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
River Ebro vs Berceo
0:2
Sep 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Berceo vs River Ebro
2:1
Apr 6, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Berceo vs River Ebro
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

River Ebro Compare

Top Goalscorer Charaf Moutai A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jimenez Arnedillo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.3

Berceo Compare

Top Goalscorer Navajas A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.43

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

River Ebro 36 / 100
Berceo 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
River Ebro Berceo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

River Ebro found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Berceo has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Difficult form: Berceo registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

River Ebro VS Berceo
0.33 Goals Scored 0.88
0.67 Goals Conceded 0.88
33% Over 1.5 63%
33% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

River Ebro

(Home)
06 Sept
River Ebro
1 : 2
Comillas CF
11 May
River Ebro
0 : 2
Vianes
04 May
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 1
River Ebro
27 Apr
River Ebro
3 : 1
Berceo
16 Apr
Casalarreina CF
3 : 1
River Ebro
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Berceo

(Away)
05 Sept
Yague
1 : 2
Berceo
10 May
Autol
2 : 1
Berceo
30 Apr
Berceo
2 : 0
Yague
26 Apr
Berceo
1 : 2
UD Logrones B
19 Apr
Oyonesa
3 : 0
Berceo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Naxara 34 30 3 1 107:12 93
2 UD Logrones B 34 25 4 5 91:29 79
3 Varea 34 20 8 6 65:35 68
4 Arnedo 34 18 7 9 64:35 61
5 Oyonesa 34 16 8 10 52:36 56
6 CDFC La Calzada 34 15 9 10 45:31 54
7 CD Calahorra B 34 12 13 9 51:43 49
8 Pena Balsamaiso 34 14 5 15 46:52 47
9 Yague 34 11 12 11 41:66 45
10 Agoncillo 34 10 12 12 36:44 42
11 Berceo 34 11 7 16 40:47 40
12 Comillas CF 34 11 4 19 40:52 37
13 Haro Deportivo 34 9 9 16 32:54 36
14 Vianes 34 9 6 19 30:44 33
15 Autol 34 7 10 17 27:58 31
16 Casalarreina CF 34 8 4 22 36:88 28
17 River Ebro 34 7 7 20 29:59 28
18 CD Tedeon 34 4 10 20 26:73 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2024/2025 (Play Offs)