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River Ebro vs CCD Alberite

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Rey S.
42' Event
Benito D.
51' Event
Nono

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 game between River Ebro and CCD Alberite finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
River Ebro
15%
Draws
12%
CCD Alberite
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: River Ebro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and River Ebro come out ahead of CCD Alberite on wins alone.
  • Model gives River Ebro a 73% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
River Ebro Clean Sheet 68%
CCD Alberite Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric River Ebro CCD Alberite
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 6 3
Draws 8 6
Losses 17 21
Goals Scored 0.9 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.68 2.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
River Ebro vs CCD Alberite
3:3
Oct 15, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CCD Alberite vs River Ebro
0:1
Feb 14, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CCD Alberite vs River Ebro
2:1
Jan 3, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
River Ebro vs CCD Alberite
1:0
Mar 8, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CCD Alberite vs River Ebro
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

River Ebro Compare

Top Goalscorer Rey S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Benito D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

CCD Alberite Compare

Top Goalscorer Nono
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

River Ebro 95 / 100
CCD Alberite 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
River Ebro CCD Alberite

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick River Ebro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CCD Alberite has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

River Ebro scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

CCD Alberite lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

River Ebro VS CCD Alberite
0.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

River Ebro

(Home)
11 May
River Ebro
0 : 2
Vianes
04 May
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 1
River Ebro
27 Apr
River Ebro
3 : 1
Berceo
16 Apr
Casalarreina CF
3 : 1
River Ebro
12 Apr
River Ebro
0 : 2
Varea
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CCD Alberite

(Away)
04 Oct
CCD Alberite
1 : 1
Puerto de Vega
27 Sept
Puerto de Vega
4 : 0
CCD Alberite
12 May
Varea
2 : 1
CCD Alberite
05 May
CCD Alberite
1 : 3
Haro Deportivo
01 May
Alfaro
9 : 0
CCD Alberite
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 23 7 4 67:19 76
2 Alfaro 34 23 7 4 80:36 76
3 CD Calahorra B 34 20 7 7 70:34 67
4 Anguiano 34 19 8 7 69:41 65
5 Varea 34 18 7 9 59:31 61
6 Oyonesa 34 17 7 10 46:28 58
7 Casalarreina CF 34 15 10 9 57:49 55
8 CDFC La Calzada 34 13 9 12 52:43 48
9 Berceo 34 13 8 13 43:44 47
10 Arnedo 34 11 9 14 36:48 42
11 Pena Balsamaiso 34 12 6 16 51:62 42
12 Racing Rioja 34 11 6 17 37:55 39
13 River Ebro 34 10 8 16 40:50 38
14 Vianes 34 9 6 19 30:62 33
15 Haro Deportivo 34 8 7 19 38:50 31
16 CD Tedeon 34 8 6 20 25:61 30
17 Comillas CF 34 3 15 16 38:59 24
18 CCD Alberite 34 4 5 25 37:103 17
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 (Play Offs)