Sport Picks
River Ebro vs Pena Balsamaiso - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2024/2025 
Match Events
78'
78'
Charaf Moutai A.
90'
90'
Martinez J.
AI Match Summary
River Ebro in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored River Ebro.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: River Ebro
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to River Ebro lately — more wins on the board than Pena Balsamaiso.
- Model gives River Ebro a 85% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
River Ebro Clean Sheet 16%
Pena Balsamaiso Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | River Ebro | Pena Balsamaiso |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 7 | 0 |
| Draws | 5 | 10 |
| Losses | 18 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 0.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 2.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pena Balsamaiso vs River Ebro
0:1
Dec 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
River Ebro vs Pena Balsamaiso
2:0
Apr 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
River Ebro vs Pena Balsamaiso
0:2
Dec 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pena Balsamaiso vs River Ebro
2:1
Mar 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pena Balsamaiso vs River Ebro
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
River Ebro Compare
Top Goalscorer Charaf Moutai A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Martinez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Pena Balsamaiso Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
River Ebro 84 / 100
Pena Balsamaiso 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
River Ebro Pena Balsamaiso
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick River Ebro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pena Balsamaiso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 32 matches.
Pena Balsamaiso's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
Attacking prowess: River Ebro scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
River Ebro VS Pena Balsamaiso
1 Goals Scored 0.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
83% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 38%
33% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
River Ebro
(Home) 08 Oct
River Ebro
1 : 2 Pradejon
04 Oct
San Marcial
1 : 1 River Ebro
26 Sept
River Ebro
3 : 2 Cenicero
18 Sept
Yague
1 : 0 River Ebro
13 Sept
Berceo
7 : 0 River Ebro
Page 1 of 6
08 Oct
River Ebro
1 : 2 Pradejon
26 Sept
River Ebro
3 : 2 Cenicero
06 Sept
River Ebro
1 : 2 Comillas CF
11 May
River Ebro
0 : 2 Vianes
27 Apr
River Ebro
3 : 1 Berceo
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Pena Balsamaiso
(Away) 10 May
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 5 UD Logrones B
30 Apr
Oyonesa
4 : 3 Pena Balsamaiso
26 Apr
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 2 Pradejon
19 Apr
Anguiano
4 : 2 Pena Balsamaiso
12 Apr
Pena Balsamaiso
2 : 5 Haro Deportivo
Page 1 of 7
30 Apr
Oyonesa
4 : 3 Pena Balsamaiso
19 Apr
Anguiano
4 : 2 Pena Balsamaiso
01 Apr
Agoncillo
4 : 1 Pena Balsamaiso
22 Mar
CD Calahorra
2 : 0 Pena Balsamaiso
08 Mar
Vianes
2 : 2 Pena Balsamaiso
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Naxara | 34 | 30 | 3 | 1 | 107:12 | 93 |
| 2 | UD Logrones B | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 91:29 | 79 |
| 3 | Varea | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 65:35 | 68 |
| 4 | Arnedo | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 64:35 | 61 |
| 5 | Oyonesa | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 52:36 | 56 |
| 6 | CDFC La Calzada | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 45:31 | 54 |
| 7 | CD Calahorra B | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 51:43 | 49 |
| 8 | Pena Balsamaiso | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 46:52 | 47 |
| 9 | Yague | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 41:66 | 45 |
| 10 | Agoncillo | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 36:44 | 42 |
| 11 | Berceo | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 40:47 | 40 |
| 12 | Comillas CF | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40:52 | 37 |
| 13 | Haro Deportivo | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 32:54 | 36 |
| 14 | Vianes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30:44 | 33 |
| 15 | Autol | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 27:58 | 31 |
| 16 | Casalarreina CF | 34 | 8 | 4 | 22 | 36:88 | 28 |
| 17 | River Ebro | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 29:59 | 28 |
| 18 | CD Tedeon | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 26:73 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
