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River Ebro vs Varea

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Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Tamayo S.
69' Event
Barahona A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2024/2025 game between River Ebro and Varea finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Varea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
River Ebro
20%
Draws
36%
Varea
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: River Ebro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Varea come out ahead of River Ebro on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Varea taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Varea here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
River Ebro Clean Sheet 19%
Varea Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric River Ebro Varea
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 20
Draws 7 6
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 0.83 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
River Ebro vs Varea
0:2
Dec 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Varea vs River Ebro
3:1
Apr 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Varea vs River Ebro
0:0
Nov 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
River Ebro vs Varea
1:2
Apr 2, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Varea vs River Ebro
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

River Ebro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Varea Compare

Top Goalscorer Tamayo S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barahona A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

River Ebro 20 / 100
Varea 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
River Ebro Varea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varea Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

River Ebro found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Varea let in goals in 53% of their last 32 matches.

River Ebro has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Varea
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

River Ebro

(Home)
11 May
River Ebro
0 : 2
Vianes
04 May
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 1
River Ebro
27 Apr
River Ebro
3 : 1
Berceo
16 Apr
Casalarreina CF
3 : 1
River Ebro
12 Apr
River Ebro
0 : 2
Varea
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Varea

(Away)
24 May
Varea
0 : 2
Oyonesa
17 May
Oyonesa
0 : 0
Varea
10 May
Varea
0 : 1
Oyonesa
03 May
Pradejon
0 : 1
Varea
26 Apr
Varea
0 : 0
Anguiano
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Naxara 34 30 3 1 107:12 93
2 UD Logrones B 34 25 4 5 91:29 79
3 Varea 34 20 8 6 65:35 68
4 Arnedo 34 18 7 9 64:35 61
5 Oyonesa 34 16 8 10 52:36 56
6 CDFC La Calzada 34 15 9 10 45:31 54
7 CD Calahorra B 34 12 13 9 51:43 49
8 Pena Balsamaiso 34 14 5 15 46:52 47
9 Yague 34 11 12 11 41:66 45
10 Agoncillo 34 10 12 12 36:44 42
11 Berceo 34 11 7 16 40:47 40
12 Comillas CF 34 11 4 19 40:52 37
13 Haro Deportivo 34 9 9 16 32:54 36
14 Vianes 34 9 6 19 30:44 33
15 Autol 34 7 10 17 27:58 31
16 Casalarreina CF 34 8 4 22 36:88 28
17 River Ebro 34 7 7 20 29:59 28
18 CD Tedeon 34 4 10 20 26:73 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2024/2025 (Play Offs)