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River Esporte Clube vs Nautico FC

Brazil Brazil

Roraimense
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AI Match Summary

River Esporte Clube play Nautico FC in the Roraimense. It looks like a close match. Recently, River Esporte Clube averaged 2.08 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. Nautico FC averaged 1.47 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, River Esporte Clube won 1, Nautico FC won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 15, 2026 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.88 for River Esporte Clube and 0.94 for Nautico FC. This points to a River Esporte Clube double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
River Esporte Clube
26%
Draws
31%
Nautico FC
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: River Esporte Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • River Esporte Clube picked up more points recently compared to Nautico FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.88 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
River Esporte Clube Clean Sheet 24%
Nautico FC Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric River Esporte Clube Nautico FC
Matches Played 24 34
Wins 10 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 2.08 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.67 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Roraimense
River Esporte Clube vs Nautico FC
5:0
May 21, 2024 Roraimense
River Esporte Clube vs Nautico FC
1:1
May 14, 2023 Roraimense
River Esporte Clube vs Nautico FC
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

River Esporte Clube Compare

Top Goalscorer Picadinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pedro Souza
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Nautico FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

River Esporte Clube 44 / 100
Nautico FC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
River Esporte Clube Nautico FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: River Esporte Clube or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

River Esporte Clube attacking → ← attacking Nautico FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

River Esporte Clube scored in 92% of their last 24 games.

Nautico FC let in goals in 76% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 4.33 goals.

River Esporte Clube went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Nautico FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 38
2.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sao Raimundo RR862028:520
2Monte Roraima853018:818
3Gremio Atletico Sampaio852121:817
4Bare850317:715
5River Esporte Clube843122:815
6Progresso82068:256
7Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)82067:176
8Nautico FC81163:174
9Atl. Roraima80175:341