Sport Picks
River Melilla vs El Palo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 9 2016/2017 
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 9 2016/2017 game between River Melilla and El Palo finished 3-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward El Palo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: El Palo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- River Melilla haven't matched El Palo's recent run of results.
- Model gives El Palo a 85% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and El Palo have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
River Melilla Clean Sheet 20%
El Palo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | River Melilla | El Palo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 36 |
| Wins | 2 | 10 |
| Draws | 0 | 7 |
| Losses | 28 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 0.67 | 1.06 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.2 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 13, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
El Palo vs River Melilla
4:1
Dec 2, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
River Melilla vs El Palo
1:3
May 6, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
River Melilla vs El Palo
3:6
Dec 11, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
El Palo vs River Melilla
5:2
Apr 16, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
River Melilla vs El Palo
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
River Melilla 10 / 100
El Palo 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
River Melilla El Palo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick El Palo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
El Palo has conceded goals in 83% of their last 36 outings.
These sides typically produce 5.40 goals when they meet.
El Palo's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
River Melilla scored in 47% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS El Palo
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
River Melilla
(Home) 19 May
UD San Pedro
3 : 2 River Melilla
11 May
River Melilla
0 : 3 Antequera
04 May
Torremolinos
5 : 0 River Melilla
01 May
River Melilla
2 : 5 Loja
27 Apr
River Melilla
1 : 5 Alhaurin
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11 May
River Melilla
0 : 3 Antequera
01 May
River Melilla
2 : 5 Loja
27 Apr
River Melilla
1 : 5 Alhaurin
07 Apr
River Melilla
0 : 3 Motril
23 Mar
River Melilla
0 : 2 CD Torreperogil
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El Palo
(Away) 10 May
El Palo
0 : 2 Churriana de la Vega
03 May
CD Torreperogil
0 : 2 El Palo
25 Apr
El Palo
1 : 2 Atletico de Porcuna
19 Apr
Torre del Mar
1 : 1 El Palo
12 Apr
El Palo
0 : 1 Motril
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03 May
CD Torreperogil
0 : 2 El Palo
19 Apr
Torre del Mar
1 : 1 El Palo
29 Mar
CD Alhaurino
2 : 1 El Palo
15 Mar
Granada CF B
1 : 0 El Palo
01 Mar
Huetor Tajar
2 : 1 El Palo
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malaga B | 38 | 28 | 6 | 4 | 107:34 | 90 |
| 2 | Antequera | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 70:38 | 75 |
| 3 | Almeria B | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 61:36 | 71 |
| 4 | Huetor Tajar | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 73:48 | 71 |
| 5 | Motril | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 71:43 | 70 |
| 6 | Loja | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 63:41 | 66 |
| 7 | Rincon | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 49:52 | 57 |
| 8 | El Palo | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 64:57 | 56 |
| 9 | Martos | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 57:54 | 53 |
| 10 | Guadix | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 47:51 | 51 |
| 11 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 41:51 | 48 |
| 12 | Maracena | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 50:54 | 46 |
| 13 | UD San Pedro | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 42:49 | 45 |
| 14 | Atarfe Industrial | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 42:59 | 45 |
| 15 | Velez | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 44:64 | 44 |
| 16 | Huetor Vega | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 45:55 | 44 |
| 17 | River Melilla | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 47:67 | 40 |
| 18 | CD Alhaurino | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 37:67 | 31 |
| 19 | Dos Hermanas | 38 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 48:88 | 28 |
| 20 | Alhaurin | 38 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 39:89 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)
