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River-PI vs Picos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense 2 Estadio Governador Alberto Tavares Silva (Albertao), Teresina
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Felipe Para
(Penalty)
45' Event
da Silva Filho W.
90' Event
Otacilio Marcos

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
River-PI
35%
Draws
32%
Picos
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • River-PI have won more games recently than Picos.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • River-PI have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor River-PI, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
River-PI Clean Sheet 20%
Picos Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric River-PI Picos
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 15 7
Draws 10 9
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.51 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Piauiense 2
Picos vs River-PI
1:1
Sep 30, 2026 Piauiense 2
River-PI vs Picos
2:1
Sep 5, 2026 Piauiense 2
River-PI vs Picos
0:3
Jan 30, 2024 Piauiense
Picos vs River-PI
1:2
Jan 13, 2024 Piauiense
River-PI vs Picos
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

River-PI Compare

Top Goalscorer da Silva Filho W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Picos Compare

Top Goalscorer Otacilio Marcos
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

River-PI 32 / 100
Picos 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
River-PI Picos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Picos conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

River-PI's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

River-PI went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

River-PI VS Picos
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

River-PI

(Home)
07 Oct
Picos
1 : 1
River-PI
30 Sept
River-PI
2 : 1
Picos
26 Sept
River-PI
3 : 1
Julho Esporte
19 Sept
Comercial PI
2 : 1
River-PI
12 Sept
River-PI
2 : 2
Flamengo PI
Page 1 of 8

Picos

(Away)
07 Oct
Picos
1 : 1
River-PI
30 Sept
River-PI
2 : 1
Picos
26 Sept
Picos
2 : 0
Flamengo PI
19 Sept
Julho Esporte
3 : 3
Picos
15 Sept
Caicara
1 : 5
Picos
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Comercial PI 2
Flamengo PI 3
Picos 2
River-PI 3
Final
Flamengo PI -
River-PI -