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River-PI vs Porto Velho

Brazil Brazil

Serie D 2024 Estadio Governador Alberto Tavares Silva (Albertao), Teresina
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Luan Viana
27' Event
Edrean
48'
Lucas Mingoti

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D 2024 tie, finishing 2-2. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
River-PI
20%
Draws
40%
Porto Velho
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Porto Velho have won more games recently than River-PI.
  • Model gives Porto Velho a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Porto Velho arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 80.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
River-PI Clean Sheet 23%
Porto Velho Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric River-PI Porto Velho
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 8 17
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.24 2.09
Goals Conceded 1.45 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2024 Serie D
Porto Velho vs River-PI
1:0
Jul 28, 2024 Serie D
River-PI vs Porto Velho
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

River-PI Compare

Top Goalscorer Edrean
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leandro Amaro
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Porto Velho Compare

Top Goalscorer Luan Viana
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fagner
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

River-PI 10 / 100
Porto Velho 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
River-PI Porto Velho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Porto Velho Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

River-PI scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Porto Velho's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

River-PI went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

River-PI VS Porto Velho
1.57 Goals Scored 1.5
1.43 Goals Conceded 1.13
86% Over 1.5 75%
86% Over 2.5 38%
43% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

River-PI

(Home)
30 Sept
River-PI
2 : 1
Picos
26 Sept
River-PI
3 : 1
Julho Esporte
19 Sept
Comercial PI
2 : 1
River-PI
12 Sept
River-PI
2 : 2
Flamengo PI
08 Sept
Caicara
1 : 3
River-PI
Page 1 of 6

Porto Velho

(Away)
12 Jul
Gama
3 : 0
Porto Velho
04 Jul
Porto Velho
2 : 0
Gama
28 Jun
Porto Velho
2 : 1
Sao Raimundo RR
21 Jun
Sao Raimundo RR
1 : 1
Porto Velho
14 Jun
Porto Velho
13 : 0
SC Humaita
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Iguatu 2
Jacuipense 1
Maranhao 1
Manaus FC 2
Anapolis 3
Itabuna 1
Cianorte 5
Costa Rica 2
Maringa FC 5
Novo Hamburgo 2
Portuguesa RJ 2
Mixto 0
Nova Iguacu 3
CRAC 2
Internacional de Limeira 2
Avenida 1
Brasiliense 4
Real Noroeste 2
Brasil de Pelotas 5
Agua Santa 1
Manauara 5
Tocantinopolis 2
Retro 2
America RN 1
Treze PB 4
ASA 1
AE Altos 2
Princesa do Solimoes 1
Porto Velho 3
River-PI 2
Itabaiana 3
Atletico Cearense 1
1/8-finals
Iguatu 4
Manaus FC 3
Anapolis 3
Cianorte 2
Maringa FC 6
Portuguesa RJ 2
Nova Iguacu 0
Internacional de Limeira 1
Brasiliense 9
Brasil de Pelotas 1
Manauara 2
Retro 3
Treze PB 3
AE Altos 2
Porto Velho 3
Itabaiana 4
Quarter-finals
Iguatu 4
Anapolis 5
Maringa FC 2
Internacional de Limeira 1
Brasiliense 1
Retro 2
Treze PB 1
Itabaiana 3
Semi-finals
Anapolis 2
Maringa FC 1
Retro 2
Itabaiana 1
Final
Anapolis 3
Retro 4