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River Plate vs Aldosivi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Copa Argentina Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena, Salta
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Fernandez T.
30' Event
Cordero N.
Assist: Laurelli F.
39'
Sub
Vera F. In: Beltran L.
Out: Vera F.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. This leg finished 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
River Plate
15%
Draws
34%
Aldosivi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: River Plate

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • River Plate have won more games recently than Aldosivi.
  • Win probability leans River Plate's way, sitting at 50%.
  • River Plate have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor River Plate, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors River Plate here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
River Plate Clean Sheet 68%
Aldosivi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric River Plate Aldosivi
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 4
Draws 5 10
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.45 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Copa Argentina
River Plate vs Aldosivi
1:3
Apr 26, 2026 Liga Profesional
River Plate vs Aldosivi
3:1
Jul 24, 2022 Liga Profesional
Aldosivi vs River Plate
0:3
Aug 27, 2021 Liga Profesional
River Plate vs Aldosivi
2:0
May 9, 2021 Copa de la Liga Profesional
River Plate vs Aldosivi
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

River Plate Compare

Top Goalscorer Borre R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Aldosivi Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cordero N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

River Plate 59 / 100
Aldosivi 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
River Plate Aldosivi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick River Plate Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

River Plate's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Aldosivi let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: River Plate stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

River Plate VS Aldosivi
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

River Plate

(Home)
19 Sept
River Plate
1 : 2
Huracan
12 Sept
Atl. Tucuman
1 : 2
River Plate
06 Sept
River Plate
3 : 1
Ind. Rivadavia
30 Aug
Banfield
2 : 3
River Plate
27 Aug
River Plate
1 : 2
Santa Fe
Page 1 of 6

Aldosivi

(Away)
04 Oct
Huracan
1 : 0
Aldosivi
21 Sept
Aldosivi
1 : 0
Atl. Tucuman
12 Sept
Ind. Rivadavia
4 : 3
Aldosivi
05 Sept
Aldosivi
3 : 1
Banfield
30 Aug
Argentinos Jrs
2 : 1
Aldosivi
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
San Lorenzo 5
Deportivo Rincon 0
Deportivo Riestra 1
Deportivo Maipu 0
Newells Old Boys 0
Acassuso 2
Gimnasia L.P. 4
Deportivo Camioneros 1
Banfield 3
Real Pilar 0
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0
San Martin T. 1
Godoy Cruz 0
Deportivo Moron 1
Argentinos Jrs 1
Midland 2
Racing Club 1
San Martin Formosa 0
Defensa y Justicia 2
Chaco For Ever 1
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2
Gimnasia Jujuy 3
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 3
Atl. Rafaela 0
Velez Sarsfield 4
Deportivo Armenio 1
Gimnasia Mendoza 0
Gimnasia y Tiro 1
Sarmiento Junin 1
Tristan Suarez 0
Boca Juniors 2
Gimnasia Chivilcoy 0
River Plate 1
Ciudad Bolivar 0
Aldosivi 3
San Miguel 0
Ind. Rivadavia 2
CA Estudiantes 0
Tigre 2
Claypole 0
Talleres Cordoba 2
Argentino de Merlo 0
Atl. Tucuman 2
Sportivo Barracas 1
Union de Santa Fe 2
Agropecuario 0
Independiente 4
Biblioteca Atenas 2
Platense 1
Argentino MM 0
San Martin S.J. 2
Deportivo Madryn 0
Instituto 2
Atletico Atlanta 0
Lanus 4
Sarmiento de La Banda 1
Estudiantes L.P. 4
Ituzaingo 0
Rosario Central 2
Sportivo Belgrano 0
Barracas Central 3
Temperley 2
Huracan 2
Olimpo Bahia Blanca 1
1/16-finals
San Lorenzo 1
Deportivo Riestra 2
Acassuso 0
Gimnasia L.P. 3
Banfield 2
San Martin T. 1
Deportivo Moron 1
Midland 2
Racing Club 4
Defensa y Justicia 1
Gimnasia Jujuy 2
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 3
Velez Sarsfield 2
Gimnasia y Tiro 0
Sarmiento Junin 0
Boca Juniors 2
River Plate 1
Aldosivi 3
Ind. Rivadavia 1
Tigre 0
Talleres Cordoba 0
Atl. Tucuman 3
Union de Santa Fe 0
Independiente 2
Platense 1
San Martin S.J. 0
Instituto 2
Lanus 1
Estudiantes L.P. 3
Rosario Central 0
Barracas Central 1
Huracan 0
1/8-finals
Deportivo Riestra 2
Gimnasia L.P. 1
Banfield 3
Midland 2
Racing Club 1
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 0
Velez Sarsfield 0
Boca Juniors 1
Aldosivi 0
Ind. Rivadavia 2
Atl. Tucuman 4
Independiente 0
Platense 2
Instituto 1
Estudiantes L.P. 3
Barracas Central 1
Quarter-finals
Deportivo Riestra 1
Banfield 2
Racing Club 2
Boca Juniors 3
Ind. Rivadavia 1
Atl. Tucuman 2
Platense 1
Estudiantes L.P. 0
Semi-finals
Banfield -
Boca Juniors -
Atl. Tucuman -
Platense -
Final
TBD -
TBD -