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River Plate vs Ciudad Bolivar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Copa Argentina
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Martinez E.
49'
Caraballo K.
59'
Sub
Sanchez G. In: Mucignat F.
Out: Sanchez G.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
River Plate
15%
Draws
37%
Ciudad Bolivar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: River Plate

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Ciudad Bolivar haven't matched River Plate's recent run of results.
  • Model gives River Plate a 48% chance of winning this.
  • River Plate have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor River Plate, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
River Plate Clean Sheet 68%
Ciudad Bolivar Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric River Plate Ciudad Bolivar
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 5 9
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.41 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2026 Copa Argentina
River Plate vs Ciudad Bolivar
1:0
Mar 20, 2025 Copa Argentina
River Plate vs Ciudad Bolivar
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

River Plate 68 / 100
Ciudad Bolivar 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
River Plate Ciudad Bolivar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick River Plate Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

River Plate scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

River Plate went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Ciudad Bolivar conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

River Plate VS Ciudad Bolivar
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

River Plate

(Home)
19 Sept
River Plate
1 : 2
Huracan
12 Sept
Atl. Tucuman
1 : 2
River Plate
06 Sept
River Plate
3 : 1
Ind. Rivadavia
30 Aug
Banfield
2 : 3
River Plate
27 Aug
River Plate
1 : 2
Santa Fe
Page 1 of 6

Ciudad Bolivar

(Away)
03 Oct
Acassuso
0 : 1
Ciudad Bolivar
26 Sept
Ciudad Bolivar
2 : 1
Chaco For Ever
19 Sept
Ferro
1 : 0
Ciudad Bolivar
12 Sept
Ciudad Bolivar
0 : 0
Central Norte
06 Sept
Deportivo Madryn
3 : 1
Ciudad Bolivar
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
San Lorenzo 5
Deportivo Rincon 0
Deportivo Riestra 1
Deportivo Maipu 0
Newells Old Boys 0
Acassuso 2
Gimnasia L.P. 4
Deportivo Camioneros 1
Banfield 3
Real Pilar 0
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0
San Martin T. 1
Godoy Cruz 0
Deportivo Moron 1
Argentinos Jrs 1
Midland 2
Racing Club 1
San Martin Formosa 0
Defensa y Justicia 2
Chaco For Ever 1
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2
Gimnasia Jujuy 3
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 3
Atl. Rafaela 0
Velez Sarsfield 4
Deportivo Armenio 1
Gimnasia Mendoza 0
Gimnasia y Tiro 1
Sarmiento Junin 1
Tristan Suarez 0
Boca Juniors 2
Gimnasia Chivilcoy 0
River Plate 1
Ciudad Bolivar 0
Aldosivi 3
San Miguel 0
Ind. Rivadavia 2
CA Estudiantes 0
Tigre 2
Claypole 0
Talleres Cordoba 2
Argentino de Merlo 0
Atl. Tucuman 2
Sportivo Barracas 1
Union de Santa Fe 2
Agropecuario 0
Independiente 4
Biblioteca Atenas 2
Platense 1
Argentino MM 0
San Martin S.J. 2
Deportivo Madryn 0
Instituto 2
Atletico Atlanta 0
Lanus 4
Sarmiento de La Banda 1
Estudiantes L.P. 4
Ituzaingo 0
Rosario Central 2
Sportivo Belgrano 0
Barracas Central 3
Temperley 2
Huracan 2
Olimpo Bahia Blanca 1
1/16-finals
San Lorenzo 1
Deportivo Riestra 2
Acassuso 0
Gimnasia L.P. 3
Banfield 2
San Martin T. 1
Deportivo Moron 1
Midland 2
Racing Club 4
Defensa y Justicia 1
Gimnasia Jujuy 2
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 3
Velez Sarsfield 2
Gimnasia y Tiro 0
Sarmiento Junin 0
Boca Juniors 2
River Plate 1
Aldosivi 3
Ind. Rivadavia 1
Tigre 0
Talleres Cordoba 0
Atl. Tucuman 3
Union de Santa Fe 0
Independiente 2
Platense 1
San Martin S.J. 0
Instituto 2
Lanus 1
Estudiantes L.P. 3
Rosario Central 0
Barracas Central 1
Huracan 0
1/8-finals
Deportivo Riestra 2
Gimnasia L.P. 1
Banfield 3
Midland 2
Racing Club 1
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 0
Velez Sarsfield 0
Boca Juniors 1
Aldosivi 0
Ind. Rivadavia 2
Atl. Tucuman 4
Independiente 0
Platense 2
Instituto 1
Estudiantes L.P. 3
Barracas Central 1
Quarter-finals
Deportivo Riestra 1
Banfield 2
Racing Club 2
Boca Juniors 3
Ind. Rivadavia 1
Atl. Tucuman 2
Platense 1
Estudiantes L.P. 0
Semi-finals
Banfield -
Boca Juniors -
Atl. Tucuman -
Platense -
Final
TBD -
TBD -