Sport Picks
River Plate vs Santa Fe
South America
Copa Sudamericana Estadio Monumental, Buenos Aires 
Match Events
36'
36'
Sub
Toscano Bassa K. D. In: Torres J.
Out: Toscano Bassa K. D.
52'
52'
Driussi S.
Assist: Montiel G.
58'
58'
Sub
Zapata A. In: Fagundez F.
Out: Zapata A.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
15%
37%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: River Plate
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- River Plate have won more games recently than Santa Fe.
- 48% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- River Plate have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Santa Fe, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
River Plate Clean Sheet 68%
Santa Fe Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | River Plate | Santa Fe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 27, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
River Plate vs Santa Fe
1:2
Aug 20, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Santa Fe vs River Plate
0:0
May 20, 2021 Copa Libertadores
River Plate vs Santa Fe
2:1
May 7, 2021 Copa Libertadores
Santa Fe vs River Plate
0:0
May 4, 2018 Copa Libertadores
Santa Fe vs River Plate
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
River Plate Compare
Top Goalscorer Driussi S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Santa Fe Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
River Plate 41 / 100
Santa Fe 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
River Plate Santa Fe
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick River Plate Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: River Plate scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Santa Fe let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.
River Plate went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
River Plate VS Santa Fe
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
River Plate
(Home) 19 Sept
River Plate
1 : 2 Huracan
12 Sept
Atl. Tucuman
1 : 2 River Plate
06 Sept
River Plate
3 : 1 Ind. Rivadavia
30 Aug
Banfield
2 : 3 River Plate
27 Aug
River Plate
1 : 2 Santa Fe
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
River Plate
1 : 2 Huracan
06 Sept
River Plate
3 : 1 Ind. Rivadavia
27 Aug
River Plate
1 : 2 Santa Fe
23 Aug
River Plate
2 : 2 Velez Sarsfield
16 Aug
River Plate
2 : 0 Argentinos Jrs
Page 1 of 4
Santa Fe
(Away) 25 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 1 Santa Fe
23 Sept
Santa Fe
0 : 1 Dep. Cali
19 Sept
Alianza
1 : 4 Santa Fe
15 Sept
Vasco
2 : 0 Santa Fe
12 Sept
Santa Fe
1 : 0 Deportes Tolima
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 1 Santa Fe
19 Sept
Alianza
1 : 4 Santa Fe
15 Sept
Vasco
2 : 0 Santa Fe
29 Aug
Junior
1 : 1 Santa Fe
27 Aug
River Plate
1 : 2 Santa Fe
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Boca Juniors 2
O Higgins 1
TBD -
Recoleta -
Bolivar 4
Gremio 2
TBD -
Sao Paulo -
Santa Fe 5
Caracas 0
TBD -
River Plate -
Ind. Medellin 2
Vasco 3
TBD -
Olimpia Asuncion -
Sporting Cristal 0
Bragantino 1
TBD -
Atletico-MG -
Universidad Central 3
Santos 8
TBD -
Macara -
Club Nacional 2
Tigre 4
TBD -
Montevideo City -
Lanus 2
Cienciano 4
TBD -
Botafogo RJ -
1/8-finals
Boca Juniors 7
Recoleta 1
Bolivar 2
Sao Paulo 4
Santa Fe 2
River Plate 1
Vasco 4
Olimpia Asuncion 1
Bragantino 2
Atletico-MG 3
Santos 2
Macara 1
Tigre 1
Montevideo City 3
Cienciano 6
Botafogo RJ 2
Quarter-finals
Boca Juniors 2
Sao Paulo 1
Santa Fe 0
Vasco 2
Atletico-MG 5
Santos 4
Montevideo City 3
Cienciano 2
Semi-finals
Boca Juniors -
Vasco -
Atletico-MG -
Montevideo City -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
