Sport Picks
River Plate vs Sarmiento Junin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Liga Profesional Estadio Monumental, Buenos Aires 
Match Events
15'
15'
Diaz G.
26'
26'
Martinez Quarta L.
34'
34'
Seyral A.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Profesional game between River Plate and Sarmiento Junin finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward River Plate.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
15%
37%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: River Plate
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- River Plate carry the better recent record into this one.
- 48% — that's where the model lands on River Plate taking it.
- Regular Liga Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
River Plate Clean Sheet 68%
Sarmiento Junin Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | River Plate | Sarmiento Junin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 10 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 15, 2026 Liga Profesional
River Plate vs Sarmiento Junin
2:0
Oct 12, 2025 Liga Profesional
River Plate vs Sarmiento Junin
0:1
Apr 5, 2025 Liga Profesional
Sarmiento Junin vs River Plate
1:1
Jul 28, 2024 Liga Profesional
River Plate vs Sarmiento Junin
1:0
Mar 20, 2023 Liga Profesional
Sarmiento Junin vs River Plate
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
River Plate Compare
Top Goalscorer Driussi S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Subiabre I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Sarmiento Junin Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
River Plate 86 / 100
Sarmiento Junin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
River Plate Sarmiento Junin
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick River Plate Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
River Plate's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Sarmiento Junin let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
River Plate has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
River Plate VS Sarmiento Junin
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
River Plate
(Home) 19 Sept
River Plate
1 : 2 Huracan
12 Sept
Atl. Tucuman
1 : 2 River Plate
06 Sept
River Plate
3 : 1 Ind. Rivadavia
30 Aug
Banfield
2 : 3 River Plate
27 Aug
River Plate
1 : 2 Santa Fe
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
River Plate
1 : 2 Huracan
06 Sept
River Plate
3 : 1 Ind. Rivadavia
27 Aug
River Plate
1 : 2 Santa Fe
23 Aug
River Plate
2 : 2 Velez Sarsfield
16 Aug
River Plate
2 : 0 Argentinos Jrs
Page 1 of 4
Sarmiento Junin
(Away) 19 Sept
Racing Club
3 : 1 Sarmiento Junin
13 Sept
Sarmiento Junin
1 : 1 CA Belgrano de Cordoba
04 Sept
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
0 : 2 Sarmiento Junin
28 Aug
Union de Santa Fe
4 : 1 Sarmiento Junin
23 Aug
Sarmiento Junin
2 : 0 Estudiantes L.P.
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Racing Club
3 : 1 Sarmiento Junin
04 Sept
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
0 : 2 Sarmiento Junin
28 Aug
Union de Santa Fe
4 : 1 Sarmiento Junin
08 Aug
Atl. Tucuman
1 : 2 Sarmiento Junin
28 Jul
Banfield
3 : 2 Sarmiento Junin
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | 28 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 22 |
| 8 | Union de Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 21 |
| 9 | Instituto | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensa y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | 15 |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | 11 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Apertura - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29:15 | 34 |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:12 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17:13 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 28 |
| 5 | CA Belgrano de Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:19 | 26 |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17:13 | 22 |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:15 | 21 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 21 |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:15 | 20 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13:20 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | 18 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6:19 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5:24 | 5 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Apertura - Play Offs)
