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Riverside Olympic vs Launceston United

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania Windsor Park, Launceston
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Almazan D.
72'
Short A.
72'
Short A.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Tasmania game between Riverside Olympic and Launceston United finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Riverside Olympic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Riverside Olympic
15%
Draws
0%
Launceston United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Riverside Olympic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Riverside Olympic carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Riverside Olympic are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Riverside Olympic Clean Sheet 17%
Launceston United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Riverside Olympic Launceston United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 3
Draws 3 2
Losses 17 25
Goals Scored 1.5 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.2 4.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Launceston United vs Riverside Olympic
0:1
Apr 18, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Riverside Olympic vs Launceston United
2:0
Aug 2, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Riverside Olympic vs Launceston United
1:3
May 31, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Launceston United vs Riverside Olympic
0:3
Mar 22, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Launceston United vs Riverside Olympic
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Riverside Olympic Compare

Top Goalscorer Almazan D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Harrop T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Launceston United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Riverside Olympic 75 / 100
Launceston United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Riverside Olympic Launceston United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Riverside Olympic Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Launceston United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Difficult form: Launceston United registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Riverside Olympic's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Riverside Olympic VS Launceston United
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 3.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Riverside Olympic

(Home)
08 Aug
South Hobart
5 : 2
Riverside Olympic
01 Aug
South East United
3 : 1
Riverside Olympic
25 Jul
Riverside Olympic
0 : 0
Launceston City
18 Jul
Riverside Olympic
2 : 4
Clarence Zebras
10 Jul
Launceston United
0 : 1
Riverside Olympic
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Launceston United

(Away)
08 Aug
Glenorchy Knights
2 : 1
Launceston United
01 Aug
Kingborough Lions
2 : 0
Launceston United
25 Jul
Launceston United
0 : 6
Devonport
22 Jul
Launceston City
4 : 2
Launceston United
19 Jul
South East United
4 : 1
Launceston United
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