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Riverside Olympic vs South Hobart

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania 2025 Windsor Park, Launceston
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Lancaster J.
23' Event
Kokubo M.
32' Event
Morton N.

AI Match Summary

South Hobart in this NPL Tasmania 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-7 — backing the pre-match view that favored South Hobart.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Riverside Olympic
15%
Draws
64%
South Hobart
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: South Hobart

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • South Hobart have won more games recently than Riverside Olympic.
  • Model gives South Hobart a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NPL Tasmania 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • South Hobart have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Riverside Olympic Clean Sheet 10%
South Hobart Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Riverside Olympic South Hobart
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 21
Draws 3 3
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 1.5 3.13
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 NPL Tasmania
South Hobart vs Riverside Olympic
5:2
May 23, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Riverside Olympic vs South Hobart
1:1
Aug 30, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Riverside Olympic vs South Hobart
0:7
Jul 12, 2025 NPL Tasmania
South Hobart vs Riverside Olympic
2:0
May 3, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Riverside Olympic vs South Hobart
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Riverside Olympic Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

South Hobart Compare

Top Goalscorer Morton N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kemp K.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Riverside Olympic 10 / 100
South Hobart 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Riverside Olympic South Hobart

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick South Hobart Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Riverside Olympic scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

South Hobart let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Solid form: Riverside Olympic remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Riverside Olympic VS South Hobart
1.5 Goals Scored 2.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Riverside Olympic

(Home)
08 Aug
South Hobart
5 : 2
Riverside Olympic
01 Aug
South East United
3 : 1
Riverside Olympic
25 Jul
Riverside Olympic
0 : 0
Launceston City
18 Jul
Riverside Olympic
2 : 4
Clarence Zebras
10 Jul
Launceston United
0 : 1
Riverside Olympic
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South Hobart

(Away)
05 Sept
South Hobart
5 : 1
Devonport
29 Aug
South Hobart
4 : 2
Kingborough Lions
23 Aug
South Hobart
0 : 3
Devonport
08 Aug
South Hobart
5 : 2
Riverside Olympic
01 Aug
South Hobart
3 : 1
Launceston City
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