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Stadium Background

RKAV Volendam vs Hardenberg

Netherlands Netherlands

Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 KWABO-stadion, Volendam
Our Tip

Match Events

59'
Sub
ten Brinke N. In: Spit L.
Out: ten Brinke N.
65' Event
Tol R.
Assist: Runderkamp N.
66'
Sub
Deuling S. In: Pouwels M.
Out: Deuling S.

AI Match Summary

The Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 game between RKAV Volendam and Hardenberg finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward RKAV Volendam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
RKAV Volendam
30%
Draws
31%
Hardenberg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: RKAV Volendam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • RKAV Volendam have managed 1.52 goals a game lately — Hardenberg are scoring more at 1.68.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on RKAV Volendam taking it.
  • Regular Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
RKAV Volendam Clean Sheet 12%
Hardenberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RKAV Volendam Hardenberg
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.52 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Tweede Divisie
RKAV Volendam vs Hardenberg
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Hardenberg vs RKAV Volendam
2:1
Mar 22, 2025 Tweede Divisie
RKAV Volendam vs Hardenberg
4:0
Oct 19, 2024 Tweede Divisie
Hardenberg vs RKAV Volendam
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RKAV Volendam Compare

Top Goalscorer Tol R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Hardenberg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RKAV Volendam 40 / 100
Hardenberg 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RKAV Volendam Hardenberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hardenberg has conceded goals in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Attacking prowess: RKAV Volendam scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: RKAV Volendam stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

RKAV Volendam VS Hardenberg
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

RKAV Volendam

(Home)
03 Oct
RKAV Volendam
1 : 4
Jong Almere City
26 Sept
GVVV
3 : 2
RKAV Volendam
22 Sept
RKAV Volendam
3 : 2
Spakenburg
19 Sept
RKAV Volendam
1 : 1
Barendrecht
12 Sept
VV Kloetinge
1 : 1
RKAV Volendam
Page 1 of 6

Hardenberg

(Away)
03 Oct
Hardenberg
2 : 1
IJsselmeervogels
26 Sept
Quick Boys
2 : 0
Hardenberg
22 Sept
Hardenberg
0 : 1
Barendrecht
19 Sept
Hardenberg
1 : 2
Kozakken Boys
12 Sept
AFC
2 : 2
Hardenberg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quick Boys 34 19 10 5 69:35 66
2 De Treffers 34 18 9 7 64:37 63
3 HSV Hoek 34 19 6 9 60:37 63
4 Rijnsburgse Boys 34 16 8 10 76:55 56
5 Hardenberg 34 17 5 12 58:44 56
6 Spakenburg 34 16 8 10 72:60 56
7 Katwijk 34 15 7 12 60:55 52
8 Jong Almere City 34 15 5 14 70:62 50
9 Kozakken Boys 34 13 8 13 47:55 47
10 Jong Sparta Rotterdam 34 12 9 13 71:73 45
11 AFC 34 12 9 13 46:54 45
12 Barendrecht 34 13 4 17 62:84 43
13 RKAV Volendam 34 13 3 18 50:62 42
14 GVVV 34 12 6 16 52:67 42
15 Koninklijke HFC 34 12 3 19 33:49 39
16 IJsselmeervogels 34 9 4 21 46:65 31
17 Excelsior Maassluis 34 8 7 19 39:58 31
18 ACV Assen 34 7 9 18 48:71 30
Relegation - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)