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RKAV Volendam vs Koninklijke HFC

Netherlands Netherlands

Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 KWABO-stadion
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AI Match Summary

RKAV Volendam play Koninklijke HFC in the Tweede Divisie 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, RKAV Volendam averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. Koninklijke HFC averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. In past meetings, RKAV Volendam won 1, Koninklijke HFC won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 24, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for RKAV Volendam and 1.06 for Koninklijke HFC. This points to a RKAV Volendam double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
RKAV Volendam
15%
Draws
39%
Koninklijke HFC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: RKAV Volendam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • RKAV Volendam picked up more points recently compared to Koninklijke HFC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
RKAV Volendam Clean Sheet 22%
Koninklijke HFC Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RKAV Volendam Koninklijke HFC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 3 2
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.6 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Tweede Divisie
RKAV Volendam vs Koninklijke HFC
1:0
Aug 30, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Koninklijke HFC vs RKAV Volendam
3:0
May 17, 2025 Tweede Divisie
RKAV Volendam vs Koninklijke HFC
2:3
Dec 7, 2024 Tweede Divisie
Koninklijke HFC vs RKAV Volendam
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RKAV Volendam Compare

Top Goalscorer Plugboer P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Koninklijke HFC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RKAV Volendam 46 / 100
Koninklijke HFC 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RKAV Volendam Koninklijke HFC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: RKAV Volendam or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

RKAV Volendam attacking → ← attacking Koninklijke HFC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RKAV Volendam scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Koninklijke HFC let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

RKAV Volendam went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Koninklijke HFC lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 32
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Quick Boys341910569:3566
2De Treffers34189764:3763
3HSV Hoek34196960:3763
4Rijnsburgse Boys341681076:5556
5Hardenberg341751258:4456
6Spakenburg341681072:6056
7Katwijk341571260:5552
8Jong Almere City341551470:6250
9Kozakken Boys341381347:5547
10Jong Sparta Rotterdam341291371:7345
11AFC341291346:5445
12Barendrecht341341762:8443
13RKAV Volendam341331850:6242
14GVVV341261652:6742
15Koninklijke HFC341231933:4939
16IJsselmeervogels34942146:6531
17Excelsior Maassluis34871939:5831
18ACV Assen34791848:7130