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RKSV UDI 19 vs Excelsior Maassluis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
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AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie game between RKSV UDI 19 and Excelsior Maassluis finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
RKSV UDI 19
15%
Draws
58%
Excelsior Maassluis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Excelsior Maassluis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Excelsior Maassluis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Excelsior Maassluis's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
RKSV UDI 19 Clean Sheet 13%
Excelsior Maassluis Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RKSV UDI 19 Excelsior Maassluis
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 14
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.83 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Derde Divisie
RKSV UDI 19 vs Excelsior Maassluis
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RKSV UDI 19 11 / 100
Excelsior Maassluis 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RKSV UDI 19 Excelsior Maassluis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Excelsior Maassluis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: RKSV UDI 19 scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Excelsior Maassluis conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: RKSV UDI 19 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

RKSV UDI 19 VS Excelsior Maassluis
1.88 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

RKSV UDI 19

(Home)
04 Oct
GOES
0 : 4
RKSV UDI 19
27 Sept
RKSV UDI 19
0 : 4
Rijnvogels
23 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 1
RKSV UDI 19
20 Sept
Gemert
1 : 1
RKSV UDI 19
13 Sept
RKSV UDI 19
4 : 1
EVV
Page 1 of 6

Excelsior Maassluis

(Away)
03 Oct
VVSB
2 : 3
Excelsior Maassluis
26 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
1 : 0
Blauw Geel
22 Sept
Sportlust
0 : 2
Excelsior Maassluis
19 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
5 : 0
Roosendaal
12 Sept
Achilles Veen
2 : 3
Excelsior Maassluis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excelsior 31 8 6 1 1 22:6 19
2 ACV Assen 8 6 1 1 21:8 19
3 VV Scherpenzeel 8 6 1 1 15:9 19
4 Genemuiden 8 6 0 2 19:9 18
5 Harkemase Boys 8 5 2 1 15:11 17
6 TEC 8 5 1 2 27:16 16
7 Sportlust 8 4 3 1 16:13 15
8 Sparta Nijkerk 8 4 2 2 22:16 14
9 Purmersteijn 8 4 2 2 15:11 14
10 VV Hoogeveen 8 4 1 3 22:17 13
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 8 3 1 4 15:18 10
12 USV Hercules 8 3 0 5 12:20 9
13 DVS '33 Ermelo 8 1 2 5 10:15 5
14 VV DOVO 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
15 Eemdijk 7 1 0 6 9:26 3
16 Staphorst 8 0 3 5 10:18 3
17 HVV Hollandia 7 0 1 6 13:23 1
18 SVZW Wierden 8 0 1 7 9:26 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rijnvogels 8 6 2 0 25:7 20
2 VV Noordwijk 8 6 1 1 15:2 19
3 Lisse 8 6 1 1 14:6 19
4 Excelsior Maassluis 8 5 2 1 16:7 17
5 RKSV UDI 19 8 4 2 2 14:9 14
6 GOES 8 4 2 2 16:17 14
7 Dongen 8 4 1 3 21:17 13
8 VV Zwaluwen 8 4 1 3 7:10 13
9 Gemert 8 2 4 2 12:13 10
10 Blauw Geel 8 2 3 3 11:11 9
11 Roosendaal 8 3 0 5 13:16 9
12 SV Poortugaal 8 3 0 5 8:13 9
13 UNA 8 1 5 2 12:13 8
14 TOGB 8 2 2 4 13:18 8
15 VVSB 8 2 1 5 10:16 7
16 Groene Ster 8 1 3 4 12:20 6
17 Achilles Veen 8 1 0 7 7:20 3
18 EVV 8 0 2 6 8:19 2
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)