Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Roa W vs Stabaek W

Norway Norway

Norway Cup Women 2026
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Rosenlund K.
26' Event
Ron G.
75' Event
Ron G.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Stabaek W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Roa W
20%
Draws
51%
Stabaek W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stabaek W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Stabaek W come out ahead of Roa W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Stabaek W a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Stabaek W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Stabaek W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Roa W Clean Sheet 10%
Stabaek W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Roa W Stabaek W
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 5 17
Draws 8 4
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.46 2.27
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Toppserien Women
Stabaek W vs Roa W
0:1
May 20, 2026 Norway Cup Women
Roa W vs Stabaek W
1:2
Feb 27, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Roa W vs Stabaek W
0:2
Oct 12, 2025 Toppserien Women
Roa W vs Stabaek W
1:1
Aug 5, 2025 Toppserien Women
Roa W vs Stabaek W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Roa W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rosenlund K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Stabaek W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ron G.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Roa W 10 / 100
Stabaek W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Roa W Stabaek W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stabaek W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Roa W scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Stabaek W let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Roa W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Roa W VS Stabaek W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Roa W

(Home)
11 Sept
Roa W
3 : 6
Valerenga W
31 Aug
Roa W
1 : 3
Lyn W
21 Aug
Brann W
5 : 1
Roa W
15 Aug
Roa W
1 : 1
Molde W
20 Jun
Stabaek W
0 : 1
Roa W
Page 1 of 6

Stabaek W

(Away)
17 Sept
Rosenborg W
4 : 2
Stabaek W
13 Sept
Stabaek W
5 : 1
LSK Kvinner W
22 Aug
Stabaek W
7 : 1
Bodo/Glimt W
15 Aug
Haugesund W
1 : 1
Stabaek W
26 Jul
Rosengard W
1 : 0
Stabaek W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Kongsvinger W 2
Grei W 5
Bodo/Glimt W -
TBD -
Ovrevoll Hosle W 1
Frigg W 2
TBD -
Lyn W -
Fana W 3
Klepp W 2
Lyngbo W 2
Fyllingsdalen W 5
Forde W 0
Sogndal W 5
TBD -
Brann W -
Raufoss W 0
Viking W 2
TBD -
Haugesund W -
Grimstad W 1
Bryne W 3
Arendal W 0
Start W 7
Ranheim W 1
Tynset W 4
TBD -
LSK Kvinner W -
Sarpsborg 08 W 2
Kolbotn W 0
TBD -
Honefoss W -
Sandefjord W 2
Arna-Bjornar W 3
KFUM Oslo W 0
Asane W 3
Rana FK W 1
Malvik W 3
TBD -
Rosenborg W -
Alta W 3
Krokelvdalen W 0
TBD -
Roa W -
Stromsgodset W 1
Odds BK W 2
TBD -
Stabaek W -
Melbo W 1
Medkila W 8
Lillestrom W 1
Tromso W 9
Storhamar Fotball W 0
Ham-Kam W 3
Valerenga W -
TBD -
Hodd W 0
Kil/Hemne W 3
TBD -
Aalesund W -
Steinkjer W 0
Tiller W 4
TBD -
Molde W -
1/16-finals
Grei W 3
Bodo/Glimt W 1
Frigg W 0
Lyn W 4
Fana W 2
Fyllingsdalen W 1
Sogndal W 1
Brann W 5
Viking W 3
Haugesund W 2
Bryne W 1
Start W 2
Tynset W 0
LSK Kvinner W 3
Sarpsborg 08 W 0
Honefoss W 2
Arna-Bjornar W 1
Asane W 0
Malvik W 0
Rosenborg W 15
Alta W 0
Roa W 10
Odds BK W 0
Stabaek W 4
Medkila W 0
Tromso W 7
Ham-Kam W 1
Valerenga W 8
Kil/Hemne W 1
Aalesund W 6
Tiller W 1
Molde W 3
1/8-finals
Grei W 1
Lyn W 4
Fana W 0
Brann W 3
Viking W 3
Start W 0
LSK Kvinner W 2
Honefoss W 3
Arna-Bjornar W 4
Rosenborg W 0
Roa W 1
Stabaek W 2
Tromso W 1
Valerenga W 3
Aalesund W 5
Molde W 1
Quarter-finals
Lyn W 0
Brann W 2
Viking W 4
Honefoss W 2
Arna-Bjornar W 2
Stabaek W 3
Valerenga W 1
Aalesund W 2
Semi-finals
Brann W 3
Viking W 0
Stabaek W 3
Aalesund W 4
Final
Brann W 3
Aalesund W 1