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Roan United vs Nchanga Rangers Prediction & H2H Stats

Zambia Zambia

Absa Cup
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AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Roan United
20%
Draws
29%
Nchanga Rangers
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Roan United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nchanga Rangers lately — more wins on the board than Roan United.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Nchanga Rangers arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Nchanga Rangers, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Nchanga Rangers have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Roan United Clean Sheet 68%
Nchanga Rangers Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Roan United Nchanga Rangers
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 5 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.72 0.84
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.78 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Absa Cup
Roan United vs Nchanga Rangers
0:2
Jul 19, 2014 Super League
Nchanga Rangers vs Roan United
2:0
Mar 15, 2014 Super League
Roan United vs Nchanga Rangers
0:2
Aug 25, 2013 Super League
Roan United vs Nchanga Rangers
2:1
Apr 7, 2013 Super League
Nchanga Rangers vs Roan United
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Roan United 41 / 100
Nchanga Rangers 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Roan United Nchanga Rangers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Roan United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Roan United has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Nchanga Rangers has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Roan United found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Roan United VS Nchanga Rangers
0.67 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
67% Over 1.5 63%
33% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Roan United

(Home)
03 Oct
Nkwazi
1 : 2
Roan United
04 Apr
Roan United
0 : 2
Nchanga Rangers
05 Apr
Roan United
1 : 2
Nkana
22 Nov
Konkola Blades
0 : 2
Roan United
15 Nov
Roan United
1 : 1
Konkola Mine Police
Page 1 of 6

Nchanga Rangers

(Away)
03 Oct
Nchanga Rangers
0 : 1
Zanaco
23 May
Nchanga Rangers
1 : 2
Konkola Blades
16 May
Zanaco
1 : 0
Nchanga Rangers
08 May
Nchanga Rangers
1 : 1
Kabwe
03 May
Nkana
0 : 1
Nchanga Rangers
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Forest Myooye 0
Mufulira Wanderers 2
Mushitala 0
Muza Fc 1
Nampundwe 0
Power Dynamos 2
Roan United 0
Nchanga Rangers 2
Chirundu United 3
Kabwe 2
Kafue Celtic 1
Zanaco 2
Play It Forward 2
Makeni All Stars 1
Zambezi Portland 0
Red Arrows 3
Quarter-finals
Mufulira Wanderers 1
Muza Fc 0
Power Dynamos 2
Nchanga Rangers 0
Chirundu United 1
Zanaco 0
Play It Forward 1
Red Arrows 4
Semi-finals
Mufulira Wanderers 0
Power Dynamos 1
Chirundu United 0
Red Arrows 2
Final
Power Dynamos 0
Red Arrows 2